Posted by deaconcat08 on October 6, 2009
Here are my picks in order of most confident to least confident. Please feel free to comment.
Pick # 1: Georgia (+1.5) vs. Tennessee- See my “Upsets to Watch Out For” entry below for analysis on this pick.
Pick # 2: Minnesota (-3.5) vs. Purdue- After showing a few flashes of brilliance in their close losses at ND and Oregon, the Boilermakers are starting to look more and more like the Big 10 doormat I expected them to be this year. On other hand, Minnesota has played very well at home this eason with a win over Air Force and closses losses to Cal and Wisconsin. I can’t figure out why the line is so close, as the Gophers should win this game by a TD or two.
Pick # 3: Marshall (-4.0) vs. Tulane- Yes, the Wave did get there first win over a 1-A opponent last week with a nail-biter over Army, but I still think they’re a bottom of the barrel C-USA team that will have a tough time winning conference games. Marshall should roll here.
Pick # 4: Air Force (+10.0) vs. TCU- See my “Upsets to Watch Out For” entry below for analysis on this pick. I do think TCU will win here but they don’t have the offense to blow out too many people.
Pick # 5: Maryland (+11.0) vs. Wake Forest- Replace TCU with Wake in the pick analysis above and then replace the term offense with defense.
Pick # 6: UL-Lafayette (-6.0) vs. North Texas- After showing some early season promise, the Mean Green have fallen on hard times again without their QB Riley Dodge. It will be a shame if such a bad break costs Riley’s dad, Todd, his coaching job. At any rate, I don’t really see UNT being competitive anymore in the Sun Belt, especially against a Rajun’ Cajun squad that is 2-0 at home, including a win over Kansas State.
Pick # 7: Duke (+15.0) vs. NC State- Duke has enough offensive firepower to keep this game close for a while. The Wolfpacks two previous blowout home victories were against 1-AA competition, so I don’t think you’ll see the same result here.
Pick # 8: Ohio (-4.0) vs. Akron- This is the Bobcats’ third straight road game, and they looked rather impressive in their first two, as they gave Tennessee scare and then beat Bowling Green. Therefore, I don’t see them having much of a problem winning big at Akron, who has yet to beat a 1-A opponent and might not for the entire season.
Pick # 9: FIU (-3.0) vs. Western Kentucky- Neither of these teams has won a game this season so far, so I guess we don’t exactly know what’s going to happen here. However, the Panthers have played 3 teams (including Rutgers) to within 2 Tds, whereas the Hilltoppers’ closest loss was by 16. Until, WKU wins a game as a 1-A member, or at least plays someone close, then I won’t be expecting too much from them.
Pick # 10: Louisiana Tech (+10.5) vs. Nevada- The Wolfpack were my lock of the week last week as they rolled over UNLV, just as I predicted. However, I think LA Tech has the talent to come into Reno and make this game closer than the experts are predicting.
Last Week’s Record: 5-5, Overall Record 27-23 (Still haven’t had a bad week yet, so keep taking my advice)