Week 6 College Football Upsets to Watch Out For
Posted by deaconcat08 on October 6, 2009
Last week I picked 2 out of 5 games correctly, but I almost hit my longshot pick again, as Washington narrowly lost to Notre Dame in a wild one. So far my double-digit underdog pick has not only covered but has come close to winning every week except one. My longshot pick this week is a pretty big game, so we’ll see how it turns out. At any rate, here are my upsets to watch out for theis week. These are ordered from smallest underdog to largest, and the value in each parentheses represents the number of points by which each team is currently an underdog according to the World Sports Exchange.
Georgia (+1.5) vs. Tennesee- Not really sure why Vegas is still crazy about the Vols. So far Kiffin’s best win as a college head coach is against Ohio, and even that was close for 3.5 quarters. Until Tennessee looks impressive in a big game, I’m going to keep picking against them, like I correctly did last week with Auburn. I actually think Georgia is better than Auburn, so I expect the Dawgs to roll in this one.
Georgia Tech (+2.5) vs. Florida State- I’m a little hesitant about this pick given how bad GT looked on the road against Miami. However, based on FSU’s recent disappointments and the added turmoil concerning Bowden’s job security, I think the Jackets will be talented and focused enough to win here.
Washington (+3.0) vs. Arizona- Based on the Huskies’ performances at home so far this year (close loss to # 4 LSU, big win over Idaho, and surprise victory over Southern Cal), I have no reason to believe they won’t beat a middle of the road Pac-10 team in Arizona.
Arkansas (+3.0) vs. Auburn- Can this dream start by Chizik really go on much longer? The Tigers haven’t faced an offense with the firepower of the Razorbacks, so I think Arkansas willl put up enough points to knock off a BCS unbeaten for the 2nd consecutive week.
Missouri (+3.0) vs. Nebraska- This could be the game of the year this season in the Big 12 North. Nebraska is probably more talented and slightly more experienced, but you can’t count out the undefeated Tigers playing at home.
Idaho (+3.5) vs. San Jose State- I’m starting to drink the Vandal kool-aid after their 4-1 start, which included back-to-back victories against top-notced mid-majors (Northern Illinois, Colorado). Three more wins and they would almost certainly become the team with the lowest preseason ranking ever to go bowling (Ranked 118 based on the consensus of national preseason rankings). I think the dream could continue this weekend in Cali.
Coloardo State (+7.5) vs. Utah- The Rams are a moderate longshot against Utah only because of there poor road performances over the last couple of weeks. Now that they are back at home, I think CSU regroups and gives Utah a run for its money.
Longshot of the Week: Air Force (+10.0) vs. TCU- There has a been a surprising upset of an unbeaten every week so far this season, and I think the trend could very well continue here. TCU has some big wins already, but this may be the toughest test the Frogs have faced all year (including Clemson). Air Force’s methodical running attack is difficult to prepare for, and it doesn’t help that the game is being played in Colorado Springs. This one should come right down to the wire.