Posted by deaconcat08 on October 13, 2009
Here are my picks for the week in order of most confident to least confident. Please feel free to comment.
Pick # 1: Texas (-3.5) vs. Oklahoma- Does someone know something I don’t know about this game? Texas has breezed through their schedule so far looking like a national title contender, and OU has alredy dropped two games. I know Bradford is back at QB, but he’s only played one full game this year, and the loss of Jermaine Gresham has actually hurt them more. I expect the Sooners to hang around for a bit, but Texas wins this game by over a TD.
Pick # 2: Boston College (-2.5) vs. NC State- If you asked me to predict this game in the preseason, I would say the Pack would win by 3 or 4 TDs. However, NC State is not the team we thought they would be. Russell Wilson has failed to live up to the hype, and their defense is absolutely horrid (note: never hire an assistant coach from Kentucky as your defensive coordinator). On the other hand, BC has looked surprisingly good at home. I got to think the Eagles by a TD or more here.
Pick # 3: Pittsburgh (-3.0) vs. Rutgers- The Wannstaches almost experienced their annual letdown loss last week, but they found a way to win at home. I think they are still capable of losing one or more games that they shouldn’t, but I don’t think it will be against Rutgers. I envision the Knights battling it out with Louisville and Syracuse in the Big East cellar, now that they are finally into conference play.
Pick # 4: Georgia (-7.5) vs. Vandy- I can’t belive Richt really could be on the hot seat? He needs a huge statement win to dispel those rumors, and there is no better team to do that to then Vandy who lost to Army on Saturday. Expect the Dawgs to win big here, even though they’ve failed to cover the last 2 weeks after I picked them to do so. I think the third time will be the charm.
Pick # 5: UL-Lafayette (-7.5) vs. Western Kentucky- Like I said last week, until the Hilltoppers are competitive against a 1-A opponent then I’ll keep betting against them. They haven’t played a team to within 15 points since joining the Sun Belt, so why do I have reason to believe they will do so on Saturday.
Pick # 6: Iowa (+3.0) vs. Wisconsin- General rule: Pick the top ten team when they are playing as a dog against an unranked team, regardless of where the game is being played. The rule applies here, and I’m sticking to it.
Pick # 7: South Carolina (+17.0) vs. Alabama- Spurrier always gets his team up for big games, and I’m sure he’s chomping at the bit to get a chance to play a Bama team that he’s yet to encounter, since he’s been at Carolina. He also hasn’t had a matchup against Saban since he left Florida. The Gamecocks will keep this one close for a while, but their defense will eventually yield to Bama’s powerful running game. Don’t see the Tide winning this one by more than 2 TDs though.
Pick # 8: Florida Atlantic (+2.5) vs. North Texas- FAU is winless and not as good as their preseason rankings indicated, but they have been competitive in their last 3, including playing South Carolina very tight until late in the 3rd quarter. I think they finally breakthough with a win against a Mean Green squad who hasn’t won a conference game since exactly 2 years ago.
Pick # 9: Minnesota (+16.5) vs. Penn State- The Lions’ best win so far is against Illinois, so going off of that I don’t see why the Gophers, who are 2-0 on the road this year, can’t hang around for a while in Happy Valley.
Pick # 10: Buffalo (-9.5) vs. Akron- The Bulls definitely aren’t the same team as the 2008 MAC Champs squad, but Akron have been horrible this year so far, failing to win a game against a 1-A opponent. The Bulls win here by double digits.
Last Week’s Record: 7-3, Overall Record 34-26 (Still going strong)