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Ramblings from the Ultimate Sports Sentimentalist

"Outside the Box" commentary about the sporting world

Week 13 College Football Bowl Eligibility Analysis

Posted by deaconcat08 on November 28, 2009

There are only two squads left on the bubble, as a number of teams either played themselves into a bowl game or out of a bowl game this weekend.  Please note that these odds only represent the chances that a particular team will get enough wins to be eligible to receive a bowl bid. They do not represent the odds a team has in actually receiving a bid. This discrepancy likely won’t affect the bowl chances of most major conference teams, but sometimes a 6-6 record won’t be enough to a get bid from a non-BCS conference. It all depends on how many other teams are bowl eligible from a conference and how many total bids are available to that conference. The exception to this is for the Sun Belt conference teams, which I went ahead and assumed they need 7 wins to make it to a bowl.

  • Army- Record: 5-6; Odds of bowl eligibility 30%; (last week 30%); Remaining Schedule: Navy
  • Hawaii- Record: 6-6 (needs 7 wins); Odds of bowl eligibility: 27% (last week: 5%); Remaining Schedule: Wisconsin
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    Bubble watch teams from last week who have now clinched bowl eligbility: Wyoming, UConn

    Bubble watch teams from last week who are now out of bowl contention: Kansas (worst college football collapse ever!), Toledo, UAB, Western Michigan, Kent State