Brad’s College Football Season in Review- The “What were they thinking” entry
Posted by deaconcat08 on January 18, 2010
The college football season has come to a close, and it’s time to look back to see how I fared with my preseason predictions compared to the experts. This is the third season I’ve conducted an in-depth analysis of my preseason picks, and while I ended up being more accurate than the experts average in 2007, last year I was beaten soundly. The final outcome of my matchup with the experts this season is somewhat difficult to determine. I proved to be more accurate making intraconference picks; however, my full Divison 1-A rankins were worse. Likewise, some of my surprise picks were dead-on and others were way-off. In regard to the bowl games, I predicted more bowls correctly, while Phil Steele had more correct bowl slots. I will now methodically rehash my preseason rankings, and the experts’, to demonstrate our brilliance, as well as our stupidity.
In this entry we will look at what teams surprised/disappointed the preseason experts the most, which is a nice way of saying, “wow, no one saw this coming.”
Teams that surprised the nation the most:
1. Idaho- finished 68 spots higher nationally than the experts predicted
2. Middle Tennessee State- finished 64 spots higher nationally than the experts predicted
3. SMU- finished 59 spots higher nationally than the experts predicted
4. Navy- finished 44 spots higher nationally than the experts predicted
4. Wyoming- finished 44 spots higher nationally than the experts predicted
6. Central Florida- finished 37 spots higher nationally than the experts predicted
7. UNLV- finished 36 spots higher nationally than the experts predicted
8. Stanford- finished 34 spots higher nationally than the experts predicted
9. Ohio- finished 32 spots higher nationally than the experts predicted
10. Wisconsin- finished 29 spots higher nationally than the experts predicted
Teams that disappointed the nation the most:
1. Illinois- finished 67 spots lower nationally than the experts predicted
2. Kansas- finished 51 spots lower nationally than the experts predicted
2. Vanderbilt- finished 51 spots lower nationally than the experts predicted
4. NC State- finished 49 spots lower nationally than the experts predicted
5. Notre Dame- finished 47 spots lower nationally than the experts predicted
6. Colorado- finished 45 spots lower nationally thanthe experts predicted
7. Maryland- finished 42 spots lower nationally than the experts predicted
8. Michigan State- finished 36 spots lower nationally than the experts predicted
8. Arizona State- finished 36 spots lower nationally thanthe experts predicted
10. Colorado State- finished 34 spots lower nationally than the experts predicted