Posted by deaconcat08 on October 12, 2011
I ended up falling just short of another impressive .500 or better record in my week 6 upset picks, but they were still rock solid overall. Two of the five upsets I mentioned came to fruition and my double-digit longshot of the week, Tulane, almost pulled off a shocker. One of those two correct picks was Rutgers over Pittsburgh, which was the upset I was most confident about going into the weekend despite the fact the Knights were a 6.5 point underdog. Looking back on it, my top upset pick has hit in three out of the first six weeks of the season, including the past two Saturdays. This revelation has inspired me to add an extra component to this weekly column by labeling one of my picks as the “Upset Special of the Week”. This game will be the one in which I believe the underdog is most likely to pull off the upset. Despite this addition, the lines will still be arranged from the smallest underdog to largest with value in each parentheses representing the number of points by which each team is currently an underdog according to the World Sports Exchange. I sadly don’t envision a lot of upsets occurring this weekend, but I still think I have a very good “Upset Special” for you to consider.
Kansas State (+3.0) at Texas Tech (Upset Special of the Week)- The Wildcats have been three point underdogs for three straight weeks now and in the first two games they not only covered but won straight up. I think they should be able to do the same against a Texas Tech squad who is probably worse than the trio of teams the Wildcats have beaten in the past three weeks.
Fresno State (+3.5) vs. Utah State- Yes, I realize there are no words to describe just how badly Fresno State played last weekend at home against Boise. However, I think Pat Hill can use that humiliating loss as a motivator to get a home victory over a squad the Bulldogs have beaten in seven of their last eight meetings.
Kent State (+3.5) vs. Miami-OH- This should be a close and entertaining game between two bad MAC teams. I’ll go with the home team even though the spread says otherwise.
Double-Digit Longshot of the Week: Arizona State (+16.0) at Oregon- Why not? I don’t really like any double-digit dogs this weekend, so why not take a stab at this one. LaMichael James is out for Oregon, and Arizona State is playing with a lot of confidence right now.