Posted by deaconcat08 on December 13, 2011
I finished the year with a 74-66 record, so obviously I did enough to solidify myself as a solid college football prognosticator. Nevertheless, I have ten more picks to offer for you for bowl season. All of the spreads below are from the World Sports Exchange’s opening lines and are ordered based on my personal confidence in each.
Pick # 1 (Lock of the Bowl Season): Michigan (-2.0) vs. Virginia Tech (Sugar Bowl)- The ACC is 2-11 in BCS Bowls, and VT got blown out twice by the only athletic team they played this season in Clemson. Denard Robinson and Michigan will win this one by at least a touchdown.
Pick # 2: Auburn (-1.0) vs. Virginia (Chick-fil-a Bowl)- The suspension of Michael Dyer worries me a little bit, but Onterio McCalebb and Tre Mason should be able to fill his void and have success running the football. The Cavs just aren’t a great football team, and I don’t think they’re good enough to match wits with a physical SEC opponent like Auburn.
Pick # 3: Iowa (+14.0) vs. Oklahoma (Insight Bowl)- This is the ultimate “no show” bowl game. Oklahoma has absolutely no reason to show up for this bowl game, and as a result, I don’t think they will. Meanwhile, Iowa has to love the opportunity to knock off the formerly # 1 ranked team in the country in a postseason game.
Pick # 4: Vanderbilt (-2.5) vs. Cincinnati (Liberty Bowl)- The Commodores also don’t play in bowl games very often so you know they’re going to be pumped for this one. I’ll take a middle of the road SEC team over a middle of the road Big East team any day of the week.
Pick # 5: Air Force (+3.0) vs. Toledo (Military Bowl)- The Falcons triple-option attack will be like nothing the Rockets see in MAC. Toledo’s defense already cost them a MAC Championship by giving up 63 to Northern Illinois at home on November 1st, and I think that same unit will cost them a bowl victory on December 28th against Air Force.
Pick # 6: Northwestern (+10.0) vs. Texas A & M (Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas)- The Kentucky Wildcats ended their epic 27 game losing streak to Tennessee this season, so is it finally time for the Northwestern Wildcats to end their epic bowl losing streak as well? The Cats last postseason victory came in the Rose Bowl in 1949 and what better time to break through than against a Texas A & M team who is in the midst of one of the nation’s most disappointing seasons, has dropped four out of their last five games, is led by an interim coach, and worst of all possesses little to no motivation to play this game.
Pick # 7: NC State (-2.5) vs. Louisville (Belk Bowl)- This is the one and only time where you can make the case that the participants in the Belk Bowl are superior to those in the Orange Bowl. That’s because the Wolfpack woodshedded Clemson less than a month ago and Louisville tied West Virginia for the Big East title while also beating the Mountaineers head-to-head. The Wolfpack finished the season on a tear by winning three out of their last four and will be playing this game in front of a hostile home crowd in Charlotte. Expect NC State to pull away by the second half.
Pick # 8: TCU (-10.5) vs. Louisiana Tech (Poinsettia Bowl)- The Sun Belt is traditionally the conference who enters bowl season with everyone wondering if their bowl bound squads can compete with bowl teams from other Division 1-A leagues. This season the WAC has taken over that role, as two of the conference’s three bowl teams enter the postseason as heavy underdogs. The WAC was just so down this year that I can’t take any of these squads, including LA Tech seriously. TCU doesn’t have a lot to play for in the game, but Patterson will be looking to build for the future and his Horned Frogs squad is just too good not to win this game by at least a couple of touchdowns.
Pick # 9: Michigan State (+3.5) vs. Georgia (Outback Bowl)- It seems like most college football analysts and prognosticators underestimate the Big Ten in both the Outback and Capital One Bowls every single year. They just assume the SEC and its speed will dominate these bowls, but the Big 10 always manages to win around 40-45% of these games. I think this is another one of those situations where prognosticators are overvaluing the SEC in this matchup. Michigan State has better wins than Georgia this year, as Sparty knocked off two BCS squads (Wisconsin, Michigan) while the Dawgs’ best win was against a mediocre Auburn team. Sparty also comes in here with a lot to prove after getting demolished in this same bowl by Alabama last season. I honestly think when push comes to shove Michigan State is the better team which more to play for which is why I am picking them to pull off the upset in this one.
Pick # 10: Oklahoma State (-3.5) vs. Stanford (Fiesta Bowl)- You have to worry about what the frame of mind of the Cowboys after getting screwed out of their national title shot. Nevertheless, OSU is just a better football team than Stanford and should come in pumped about playing in their first-ever BCS game. This will be a high-scoring shootout that Oklahoma State will end up winning by at least a touchdown.
Week 14 Record: 6-4, Overall Record: 74-66