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	<title>Ramblings from the Ultimate Sports Sentimentalist &#187; football</title>
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	<description>&#34;Outside the Box&#34; commentary about the sporting world</description>
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		<title>Good Thoughts/Bad Thoughts from College Football Week 8</title>
		<link>http://sportsentiment.com/2009/10/25/good-thoughtsbad-thoughts-from-college-football-week-8/</link>
		<comments>http://sportsentiment.com/2009/10/25/good-thoughtsbad-thoughts-from-college-football-week-8/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 25 Oct 2009 08:18:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>deaconcat08</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alabama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arizona State]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ball State]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[college football]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Temple]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Texas A & M]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wake Forest]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deaconcat08.sportsblognet.com/?p=174</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Good Thoughts: 1.  Stan Parrish-  Any head coach who breaks a 35-game losing streak, which originated on October 25, 1986, deserves acknowledgement on every college football column this week.  Congrats Stan!  He was still an awful hire by Ball State though. 2.  Lower-Ranked Unbeatens-  Even though Florida, Texas, and Alabama took care of business this week, the BCS [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Good Thoughts</strong>:</p>
<p><strong>1.  Stan Parrish</strong>-  Any head coach who breaks a 35-game losing streak, which originated on October 25, 1986, deserves acknowledgement on every college football column this week.  Congrats Stan!  He was still an awful hire by Ball State though.</p>
<p><strong>2.  Lower-Ranked Unbeatens</strong>-  Even though Florida, Texas, and Alabama took care of business this week, the BCS controversy continues to heat up due to  impressive performances by the other four 1-A unbeatens.  While the Gators and Tide had to struggle to win games against vastly inferior opponents, TCU, Iowa, Cincinnati, and Boise State, all had statement wins.  Cincy blew out Louisville without its starting quarterback.  TCU manhandled a 16th-ranked BYU squad on the road.  Boise also won on the road in dominating fashion.  And Iowa made a stunning  drive in the final minute to beat Michigan State, in what many are calling the most exciting finish to a college football game this season.  I&#8217;m not saying these teams should pass the USC, Bama, or Texas, but I think these performances should prove that they are superior to all of the one-loss challengers.  Southern Cal seems to be the team who could pass all these guys in the BCS Standings, which would be a travesty given the fact that Portland State held Oregon State to fewer points than the Trojans did on Saturday. </p>
<p><strong>3.  Bowl Bubble: Teams Improving Odds</strong>- Here are some bowl bubble teams who helped their eligibility odds by getting big/surprising wins on Saturday.  Note the &#8220;Previous odds of bowl eligibility&#8221; statistic&#8221; is my determination of each team&#8217;s going into this weekend&#8217;s games.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Florida State- </strong>Record: 3-4; Previous odds of bowl eligibility: 41%; New odds of bowl eligibility: 56%; Outlook: It looked like Bowden was on his way out with a disappointing losing season that would leave his team ineligible for a bowl game for the first time since the mid-1970s.  However, after a huge comeback road win against UNC, FSU now has a good shot at reaching the 6-win mark.  They&#8217;ll need to beat NC State and Maryland at home and Wake on the road, which will likely be  a bowl elimination game for both teams.</li>
<li><strong>Iowa State</strong>- Record: 5-3; Previous odds of bowl eligibility: 40%; New odds of bowl eligibility: 52%; Outlook: The Cyclones quest for an unfathomable bowl berth got a huge boost with a shocking win over Nebraska, which some are calling the upset of the season so far.  They just need one more win now, and they&#8217;ll have good chances to get it next week at Texas A &amp; M and at home  against Colorado on November 14th. </li>
<li><strong>Kent State</strong>- Record: 4-4; Previous odds of bowl eligibility: 22%; New odds of bowl eligibility: 33%; Outlook: My bold preseason prediction that the Flashes would have a breakout year this season is starting to look pretty good.  After back-to-back road victories including Saturday&#8217;s upset over Ohio, Kent State has put itself in a position for a bowl game if they can catch some breaks down the stretch.  They may need 7 wins from the MAC to get to a bowl, but they only figure to be a major underdog in one of their remaining games (at Temple).</li>
<li><strong>Temple</strong>- Record: 5-2; Previous odds of bowl eligibility: 87%; New odds of bowl eligibility: 95%; Outlook: After their big road victory over Toledo, it looks like a foregone conclusion that Temple will bowl for the first time since 1979.  They only need more win, and I can&#8217;t imagine them not getting it two weeks from now when winless Miami-OH comes to town.</li>
<li><strong>Texas A &amp; M</strong>- Record: 4-3; Previous odds of bowl eligibility: 37%; New odds of bowl eligibility: 53%; Outlook: I still have no idea how they beat Texas Tech Saturday night, but with the victory, the Aggies may have turned the tide in their downward spiral towards the Big 12 basement.  All of a sudden, a bowl game seems very possible in College Station, as both Iowa State (Oct. 31) and Baylor (Nov. 21) come to town in the upcoming weeks.</li>
<li><strong>Stanford</strong>- Record: 5-3; Previous odds of bowl eligibility: 35%; New odds of bowl eligibility: 43%; Outlook:  The Cardinal won a huge bowl elimination game versus ASU to setup a brutal 4 game stretch to end the year.  The good news is that 3 of the games are in Palo Alto.  The bad news is that all four opponents are or have been ranked in the top 20 this season.  Their best chances at wins are at home versus Cal and Notre Dame to end the season, and even though I don&#8217;t think they&#8217;ll win either game, Jim Harbaugh is def. capable of pulling a surprise. </li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Bad Thoughts</strong>:</p>
<p><strong>1.  Troublemakers</strong>- One thing that I&#8217;ve always found odd about college football is how some teams seem to always play particularly well or particularly bad against certain opponents.  Even as players and coaches change from year-to-year and even decade-to-decade, the phenomenon, where particular teams give certain superior opponents all kinds of trouble, continues.  Examples of this were seen all across the country on Saturday, as several teams were pushed to the limits or upset by a squad that they have had surprisingly bad results with over the years.  South Carolina squeaked by their nemesis Vandy.  Notre Dame almost lost to BC for the 7th straight time.  Alabama needed a big play to beat Tennessee, who has crushed the dreams of the Tide in years past.  Florida struggled in Starkville, where they hadn&#8217;t won since 1985.  Wake Forest lost to Navy for the second straight year, and  Oregon State, as usual, gave USC all it could handle.  College football sure is a strange game&#8230;</p>
<p><strong>2.  Poor coaching decisions</strong>-  Usually when the phrase &#8220;what a bad call&#8221; has been uttered this college football season, it has applied to the numerous questionable calls made by officials in big games.  However, this Saturday, the phrase better described some horrible play calls made by coaches in several big games. </p>
<ul>
<li>Jim Grobe/Steed Lobotzke- We&#8217;ll start with my poor Demon Deacons, who after not being able to run the ball the entire year, decide to put it on the ground the whole game against Navy&#8217;s strong run defense.  The strategy resulted in zero touchdowns through the first 3 quarters.  Then, exactly as we did in the BC game, we started successfully moving the ball through the air late in the game.  However, it was too little, too late, as a holding call against our horrible offensive line, cost us a chance to make a game-tying score.  Now someone please explain to me why we can&#8217;t start out passing to setup the run?  LOBO&#8217;S GOT TO GO!!!</li>
<li>Dan Mullen- As bright as this guy seems, this is the second upset bid this year he&#8217;s blown by making some stupid late-game decisions.  Against LSU, on 3rd and goal from the inch line, he chose to run a play action pass on 3rd Down and some kind of misdirection draw on 4th Down instead of just sneaking it in for the winning score.  The Bulldogs didn&#8217;t come close to scoring on either play, and LSU came out of Starkville with a win.  On Saturday, Miss. State was right in the thick of things with the Florida Gators until Mullen inexplicably called a fake punt inside his own 20 yard line.  The play failed miserably, and immediately thereafter, Florida marched in for a short TD which ultimately ended the Bulldogs&#8217; upset bid.</li>
<li>Lane Kiffin- I will say that Lane has brought his A-game in the two toughest games anyone has played this season.  Only the Vols have had to play on the road against both the # 1 and # 2 team in the nation, and Tennessee took both teams right down to the wire.  However, in Saturday&#8217;s final drive, Kiffin setup for the winning field goal way, way too early.  With nearly 45 seconds left, the Vols elected to go ahead and put the ball in the middle of the field in preparation for a long field goal attempt from a kicker who had struggled all day.  I know they were out of timeouts, but the way Crompton was throwing the ball, he could have easily completed a couple of out-routes which would have setup a much easier field goal or even a touchdown for the Vols.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>3.  Bowl Bubble: Teams Hurting their Bowl Chances</strong>- Here are some bowl bubble teams who hurt their eligibility odds by picking up bad/disappointing losses on Saturday.  Note the &#8220;Previous odds of bowl eligibility&#8221; statistic&#8221; is my determination of each team&#8217;s going into this weekend&#8217;s games.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Arizona State-</strong> Record: 4-3; Previous odds of bowl eligibility: 36%; New odds of bowl eligibility: 14%; Outlook:  The Sun Devils&#8217; bowl hopes just went from bad to worse with their loss at Stanford.  Even though they currently have a winning record, they will almost certainly be a dog in all of their final 5 games.</li>
<li><strong>Indiana</strong>- Record: 4-4; Previous odds of bowl eligibility: 52%; New odds of bowl eligibility: 30%; Outlook: The Hoosiers blew a huge second half lead to Northwestern, which will likely cost them a spot in a bowl game.  They now must win home games against both Wisconsin and Purdue.</li>
<li><strong>UL-Lafayette</strong>- Record: 4-3; Previous odds of bowl eligibility: 42%; New odds of bowl eligibility: 29%; Outlook: So sad to see the Ragin&#8217; Cajuns&#8217; quest at their first bowl game take a huge hit by getting walloped at home by 1-4 Florida Atlantic.  They still have winnable games against FIU and rival UL-Monore, but I don&#8217;t think 6 wins will be enough to get a bowl berth out of the Sun Belt.</li>
<li><strong>Wake Forest</strong>- Record: 4-4; Previous odds of bowl eligibility: 50%; New odds of bowl eligibility: 18%; Outlook: Due to a painful loss to Navy, who did not even attempt a pass in the game, the Deacons will need to win their last two (vs. FSU, at Duke) to reach the 6-win mark. </li>
</ul>
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		<title>Announcing the re-birth of the CFRA poll!!</title>
		<link>http://sportsentiment.com/2009/09/09/announcing-the-re-birth-of-the-cfra-poll/</link>
		<comments>http://sportsentiment.com/2009/09/09/announcing-the-re-birth-of-the-cfra-poll/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Sep 2009 04:55:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>deaconcat08</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[college football]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[NCAA]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deaconcat08.sportsblognet.com/?p=87</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Way back in college football&#8217;s inaugural season of 1869 two polls were formed that enabled a group of  fans to vote on a national champion.  One of those polls, the College Football Researchers Association Poll (also known as the CFRA poll), emerged as the most preeminent poll in college football until the Associated Press rankings took [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Way back in college football&#8217;s inaugural season of 1869 two polls were formed that enabled a group of  fans to vote on a national champion.  One of those polls, the College Football Researchers Association Poll (also known as the CFRA poll), emerged as the most preeminent poll in college football until the Associated Press rankings took its place in 1936.  As a general notion, the poll treated Notre Dame unfavorably by voting against them twice in years where they earned split national titles (1919 and 1930).  And instead gave a great deal of respect to Alabama by awarding them split championships in 1925, 1926, and 1930.   At any rate, to honor this significant piece of football history, the College Football Researchers Association Poll  is now being reinvented on this blog.  The CFRA poll will be voted on each week by me and other college football fans  deemed worthy enough to participate .  The first edition of the poll will come out this Monday and then be published every week thereafter.</p>
<p> If you would like to become an official member of the CFRA and obtain the ability to vote in this weekly poll, then send an email to <a href="mailto:bmatthews85@gmail.com">bmatthews85@gmail.com</a>and give your name, location, and a brief description of your credentials (how long you have been watching cf, who your favorite team is, etc.).  If you are chosen to participate in the poll, then you will be notified.  Also, overly biased rankings (ex: voting Clemson # 1) will result in your disqualification from the poll and the revocation of your future voting privileges.  Seriously though, join the poll.  I&#8217;ve always thought it would be cool to come up with a rankings system that complied the votes of friends and other fans.  At the very least, it should generate some good debate.  Again, let me know if your interested in participating.</p>
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		<title>Week 2 Picks</title>
		<link>http://sportsentiment.com/2009/09/09/week-2-picks/</link>
		<comments>http://sportsentiment.com/2009/09/09/week-2-picks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Sep 2009 11:10:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>deaconcat08</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[college football]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deaconcat08.sportsblognet.com/?p=85</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I went 6-4 last week, which isn&#8217;t horrible.  Unfortuantely, this week I&#8217;m not quite as confident about my picks.  Everyone has a fatal flaw when it comes to picking games, and mine tends to be that I underestimate home field advantage and end up picking  too many road teams.  That&#8217;s what I felt like happened this week, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I went 6-4 last week, which isn&#8217;t horrible.  Unfortuantely, this week I&#8217;m not quite as confident about my picks.  Everyone has a fatal flaw when it comes to picking games, and mine tends to be that I underestimate home field advantage and end up picking  too many road teams.  That&#8217;s what I felt like happened this week, but we&#8217;ll see how it turns out.  Here are my picks in order of most confident to least confident.  Please feel free to comment.</p>
<p><strong>Pick # 1: Southern Cal (-6.5) vs. Ohio State</strong>- Predicitng another blowout in this series.</p>
<p><strong>Pick # 2: Virginia Tech (-19.5) vs. Marshall</strong>- A fired up Hokie team should win big at home.</p>
<p><strong>Pick # 3: Utah (-14.0) vs. San Jose State</strong>- A friend told me that this is the lock of the week.  I&#8217;ll take his word on it, but the Utes will have to play better than they did in the first week.</p>
<p><strong>Pick # 4: Iowa (-6.5) vs. Iowa State</strong>- I know that the Hawkeyes almost lost to Northern Iowa, but I really think that NIU is a tougher opponent than the Cyclones.</p>
<p><strong>Pick # 5: Western Michigan (+1.5) vs. Indiana</strong>- See comments in upset entry below.</p>
<p><strong>Pick # 6: BYU (-17.5) vs. Tulane</strong>- Tulsa beat Tulane on the road last week by 24, so I don&#8217;t see why the Cougars won&#8217;t do the same or better here.</p>
<p><strong>PIck # 7: Oregon State (-7.0) vs. UNLV</strong>- I think the Beavers are looking to win big here and make a statemetn that they&#8217;re once again a Pac-10 title contender.</p>
<p><strong>Pick # 8: Tulsa (-17.0) vs. New Mexico-</strong> I picked Tulsa last week and it hit, and I picked against New Mexico last week and it hit.  Time to try it again.</p>
<p><strong>Pick # 9: Kansas State (-7.5) vs. UL-Lafayette</strong>- I know it&#8217;s on the road, but I&#8217;ll pick a mediocre Big 12 team  to beat a mediocre Sun Belt team by more than a TD  anyday.</p>
<p><strong>Pick # 10: Syracuse (+28.0) vs. Penn State-</strong> Really surprised this line is as high as it is.  I think the rejuvenated Orange will keep it close for a while at least.</p>
<p><strong>Last week&#8217;s record: 6-4, Overall Record: 6-4</strong></p>
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		<title>Week 1 Top 25</title>
		<link>http://sportsentiment.com/2009/09/07/week-1-top-25/</link>
		<comments>http://sportsentiment.com/2009/09/07/week-1-top-25/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Sep 2009 04:37:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>deaconcat08</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://deaconcat08.sportsblognet.com/?p=80</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the perfect world, I would have a vote in either the AP or Coaches poll. Unfortunately I don&#8217;t, so the following rankings carry no weight whatsoever. However, as meaningless as they may be, I do promise to offer you a poll each week that stands out from the rest. The most unusual, and many [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the perfect world, I would have a vote in either the AP or Coaches poll. Unfortunately I don&#8217;t, so the following rankings carry no weight whatsoever. However, as meaningless as they may be, I do promise to offer you a poll each week that stands out from the rest. The most unusual, and many would call it retarded, aspect of my weekly poll is that all undefeated teams in Division 1-A are automatically ranked ahead of any team with a loss. Period. NO exceptions. What pains me the most about college football is that you can win all your games and still not have a chance to play for the national title. Well my poll does all it can to remedy that situation by giving every unbeaten (even those from Non-BCS conference), priority over their one-loss counterparts. With that in mind, here&#8217;s my week 1 poll including a brief analysis.</p>
<p> <strong>1.  Florida-</strong> Looked good in their week 1 preseason game on Saturday. Tebow moves closer to claiming 2nd Heisman now that Bradford is out.</p>
<p><strong>2.  Texas-</strong> With OU out of the picture, Oklahoma State might be their biggest game this year.</p>
<p><strong> 3.  Southern Cal-</strong> I expect the Trojans to wallop the Buckeyes this weekend, and I&#8217;m still picking them to win it all come January.</p>
<p><strong>4.  Oklahoma State</strong>- Along with Bama, they had the most impressive win of the first weekend.</p>
<p><strong>5.  Alabama-</strong> Surprisingly potent offense may make them the team to beat in the SEC West this year.</p>
<p><strong>6.  California-</strong> Other than Cincinnati&#8217;s beatdown of Rutgers, the Bears had the most dominant first week victory over a fellow BCS team.</p>
<p><strong>7.  Ole Miss-</strong> I was troubled to see that more than a dozen of their players came down with the swine flu, but unfortunately, they don&#8217;t play a real football game until they come to Columbia two weeks from Thursday. The Cocks could give the Rebels a real test, and I&#8217;ll be in attendance to see it.</p>
<p><strong>8. Penn State-</strong> Looked good against Akron, but I&#8217;m kinda surprised they&#8217;re a 4 TD favorite against a rejuvenated Syracuse squad this weekend.</p>
<p><strong>9.  LSU</strong>- Couldn&#8217;t tell if Washington was playing the game of their lives on Saturday night or if LSU just wasn&#8217;t as good as we expected. Either way they better beware of the Dores&#8217; coming to town this weekend.</p>
<p><strong> 10. Ohio State-</strong> Don&#8217;t mean to brag or anything, but yes I called saturday&#8217;s Navy scare. It was the worst scheduling move ever, and it will come back to haunt the Buckeys as they will be ill-prepared for the Trojans&#8217; schemes.</p>
<p><strong>11. Brigham Young-</strong>  The pundits are already starting the BYU/Boise BCS Debate. My solution, which I&#8217;ve been talking about for a couple of years now, is to have a MWC/WAC showdown game on conference championship saturday each year. The two conference champs would meet so we can determine an annual BCS Buster.</p>
<p><strong>12. Cincinnati-</strong>  Call me crazy for ranking the Bearcats so high, but I like to base my poll on a team&#8217;s weekly merits, and when you start the season by trampling a Big East title contender on the road, then you should be rewarded for doing so.</p>
<p><strong>13. Boise State-</strong> Unfortuantely, I think Oregon is going to finish about 4-8 now, so I&#8217;m not sure how impressive the Broncos&#8217; week 1 victory will be. Still, they are so high in the preseason polls that if they keep winning, thete is no way they will get screwed out of the BCS, unless BYU runs the table too.</p>
<p><strong>14. Georgia Tech-</strong> Huge Thursday night game against Clemson will tell us a lot about this squad.</p>
<p><strong>15.  TCU-</strong> Were the Horned Frogs the only team in the country not to play their opener last weekend?</p>
<p><strong>16.  North Carolina-</strong> They won their opening game, which is more than most ACC schools can say right now.</p>
<p><strong>17.  Utah-</strong> The Utes didn&#8217;t look overly impressive against Utah State last Thursday, but they should still be a contender in a very sold Mountain West conference.</p>
<p><strong>18.  Miami-FL-</strong> After watching tonight&#8217;s instant classic, I&#8217;m thinking maybe it&#8217;s time for the re-emergence of ACC football in Florida.</p>
<p><strong>19.  Notre Dame-</strong> Impressed by the Irish&#8217;s beatdown of Nevada. Their matchup with Michigan is regaining its luster from yesteryear.</p>
<p><strong> 20.  Kansas-</strong> Still think this team will surprise a lot of people this year. My other surprise pick, Illinois, is not looking so hot though.</p>
<p><strong>21. Oregon State-</strong> With Oregon potentially out of the picture, there could be a solid 3-team race for the Pac-10 crown featuring the Beavers, Bears, and Trojans.</p>
<p><strong>22. Nebraska-</strong> After Missouri&#8217;s impressive win against the Illini, the Big 12 North is looking surprisingly strong (with the obvious exception of Colorado).  The Huskers, Tigers, and Jayhawks could all be top 20 teams when everything is said and done.</p>
<p> <strong>23.  South Carolina-</strong> I think the Gamecocks will beat Georgia this weekend on their way to a top 20 ranking. The defense still looks good, and Garcia was much improved against NC State.</p>
<p> <strong>24. Clemson-</strong> Was anyone besides me puzzled that Clemson played a home game at night to open the season? Do tractors come equipped with headlights now or something?</p>
<p><strong>25. North Texas-</strong> Each week my 25th spot will go to a &#8220;wildcard team&#8221;, a squad off the beaten path who does something impressive enough to be featured in the poll.  This week it goes to the Mean Green who after going 1-11 in 2008 beat a team on the road that went 12-0 during last year&#8217;s regular season. Now tell me the last time that&#8217;s ever happened.</p>
<p><strong>Weekly Heisman Top 5:</strong> 1) Tim Tebow, 2) Colt McCoy, 3) Dez Bryant, 4) Jahvid Best, 5) Jevan Snead</p>
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