Every summer since 2007 I have created an intricate set of college football predictions for each upcoming season. This year is no exception, as I will be using my blog over the next few weeks to publish my 10th annual college football preview guide. Without further ado, here are the teams I am predicting to surprise this season. These teams are ordered in the relative disparity between my picks and the experts average while also taking into account the significance of each pick.
| Surprise Teams | My Predictions: | Experts Predictions: | |
| 1 | TCU | 4th in nation (+18); 1st in Big 12 (+1) | 22nd in nation; 2nd in Big 12 |
| 2 | Washington State | 11th in nation (+29); 1st in Pac-12 North (+3) | 40th in nation; 4th in Pac-12 North |
| 3 | Air Force | 12th in nation (+50); 1st in MWC Mountain (+1) | 62nd in nation; 2nd in MWC Mtn. |
| 4 | Arizona | 16th in nation (+29); 2nd in Pac-12 South (+3) | 45th in nation; 5th in Pac-12 South |
| 5 | West Virginia | 22nd in nation (+16); 3rd in Big 12 (+4) | 38th in nation; 7th in Big 12 |
| 6 | Minnesota | 23rd in nation (+30); 2nd in Big 10 West (+2) | 53rd in nation; 4th in Big 10 West |
| 7 | Northern Illinois | 29th in nation (+36); 1st in MAC West (+1) | 65th in nation; 2nd in MAC West |
| 8 | Tulsa | 51st in nation (+42); 3rd in AAC West (+1) | 93rd in nation; 4th in AAC West |
| 9 | UNLV | 74th in nation (+24); 3rd in MWC West (+1) | 98th in nation; 4th in MWC West |
| 10 | Texas A & M | 19th in nation (+13); 3rd in SEC West (+2) | 32nd in nation; 5th in SEC West |