Bowl Bubble Watch- Inaugural 2017 Edition

The most comprehensive analysis of the college football bowl bubble is back!  For the ninth-straight year, I will be publishing weekly November columns analyzing which teams will get bowl bids and which will not.  Below, I have written a report for every team that has yet to be declared either bowl eligible or ineligible.  Each week this list will be updated and new odds will be provided for each team.  Please note that these odds only represent the chances that a particular team will get enough wins to be eligible to receive a bowl bid.  They do not represent the odds a team has for actually receiving a bid.  This discrepancy likely won’t affect the bowl chances for most teams, but as we saw last year with Mississippi State and North Texas, sometimes a squad can fall short of bowl eligibility and still garner a bowl bid at 5-7 if all spots aren’t filled based on their APR.  The teams are ordered in descending order of likelihood that they will become bowl eligible.  As of now, there are 76 teams on the list with 38 predicted to attain bowl eligibility and 38 predicted to fall short.  As of now, I’m projecting there to be 77 bowl eligible teams for 2017 (see full stats at the bottom of this entry).  Keep in mind that there are a total of 78 bowl slots to be filled.  This list is updated through all games played on October 28th.  

Good Side of the Bowl Bubble: Teams closing in on bowl bids (38):

Arkansas State- Record: 5-2; Remaining Schedule: at South Alabama, vs. Texas State, at UL-Monroe, vs. Troy; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 99.9%

Appalachian State- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: at UL-Monroe, vs. Georgia Southern, at Georgia State, vs. UL-Lafayette; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 99.5%

Houston- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: vs. East Carolina, at Tulane, vs. Navy; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 99%

Texas A & M- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: vs. Central Michigan, vs. Kent State, at Northern Illinois, at Toledo; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 98.5%

Western Michigan- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: vs. Auburn, vs. New Mexico, at Ole Miss, at LSU; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 98%

Southern Miss- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: at Tennessee, at Rice, vs. Charlotte, at Marshall; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 97.5%

North Texas- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: at Louisiana Tech, vs. UTEP, vs. Army, at Rice; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 97%

Florida Atlantic- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: vs. Marshall, at Louisiana Tech, vs. FIU, at Charlotte; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 96%

UAB- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: vs. Rice, at UTSA, at Florida, vs. UTEP; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 95%

Akron- Record: 5-4; Remaining Schedule: at Miami-OH, vs. Ohio, vs. Kent State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 94%

Wyoming- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: vs. Colorado State, at Air Force, vs. Fresno State, at San Jose State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 93%

Fresno State Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: vs. BYU, at Hawaii, at Wyoming, vs. Boise State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 92%

Northwestern- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: at Nebraska, vs. Purdue, vs. Minnesota, at Illinois; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 91%

FIU- Record: 5-2; Remaining Schedule: vs. UTSA, vs. Old Dominion, at Florida Alantic, vs. Western Kentucky, vs. UMass; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 88%

Navy- Record: 5-2; Remaining Schedule: at Temple, vs. SMU, at Notre Dame, at Houston, vs. Army; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 78%

Oregon- Record: 5-4; Remaining Schedule: at Washington, vs. Arizona, vs. Oregon State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 77%

Boston College- Record: 5-4; Remaining Schedule: vs. NC State, vs. UConn, at Syracuse; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 76%

Western Kentucky- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: at Vanderbilt, at Marshall, vs. Middle Tennessee, at FIU; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 74%

Louisville- Record: 5-4; Remaining Schedule: vs. Virginia, vs. Syracuse, at Kentucky; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 73%

Texas- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: at TCU, vs. Kansas, at West Virginia, vs. Texas Tech; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 69%

West Virginia- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: vs. Iowa State, at Kansas State, vs. Texas, at Oklahoma; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 68%

Georgia Tech- Record: 4-3; Remaining Schedule: at Virginia, vs. Virginia Tech, at Duke, vs. Georgia; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 67%

Wake Forest- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: at Notre Dame, at Syracuse, vs. NC State, vs. Duke; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 66%

Iowa- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: vs. Ohio State, at Wisconsin, vs. Purdue, at Nebraska; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 65%

Georgia State- Record: 4-3; Remaining Schedule: at Georgia Southern, at Texas State, vs. Appalachian State, vs. Idaho; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 64%

Air Force- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: vs. Army, vs. Wyoming, at Boise State, vs. Utah State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 63%

Louisiana Tech- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: vs. North Texas, vs. Florida Atlantic, at UTEP, vs. UTSA; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 62%

Arizona State- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: vs. Colorado, at UCLA, at Oregon State, vs. Arizona; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 61%

UTSA- Record: 5-2; Remaining Schedule: at FIU, vs. UAB, vs. Marshall, at Louisiana Tech; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 60%

Middle Tennessee- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. UTEP, at Charlotte, at Western Kentucky, vs. Old Dominion; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 57%

UCLA- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: at Utah, vs. Arizona State, at Southern California, vs. California; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 56%

New Mexico State- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: at Texas State, at UL-Lafayette, vs. Idaho, vs. South Alabama; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 55.5%

Utah- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: vs. UCLA, vs. Washington State, at Washington, vs. Colorado; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 55%

Texas Tech- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: vs. Kansas State, vs. Baylor, vs. TCU, at Texas; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 54%

Nebraska- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: vs. Northwestern, at Minnesota, at Penn State, vs. Iowa; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 53%

Syracuse- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: at Florida State, vs. Wake Forest, at Louisville, vs. Boston College; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 52%

UNLV- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Hawaii, vs. BYU, at New Mexico, at Nevada; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 51%

Florida- Record: 3-4; Remaining Schedule: at Missouri, at South Carolina, vs. UAB, vs. Florida State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 50.5%

Bad Side of the Bowl Bubble: Teams who will likely be home for the holidays (0):

Central Michigan- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: at Western Michigan, vs. Eastern Michigan, at Kent State, vs. Northern Illinois; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 49.5%

Virginia- Record: 5-3; Remaining Schedule: vs. Georgia Tech, at Louisville, at Miami-FL, vs. Virginia Tech; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 49%

Kansas State- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: at Texas Tech, vs. West Virginia, at Oklahoma State, vs. Iowa State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 48%

Tennessee- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Southern Miss, at Missouri, vs. LSU, vs. Vanderbilt; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 47%

Colorado- Record: 5-4; Remaining Schedule: at Arizona State, vs. Southern California, at Utah; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 46%

Utah State- Record: 4-5; Remaining Schedule: at New Mexico, vs. Hawaii, at Air Force; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 45%

Tulane- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Cincinnati, at East Carolina, vs. Houston, at SMU; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 44%

California- Record: 4-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Oregon State, at Stanford, at UCLA; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 43%

Duke- Record: 4-5; Remaining Schedule: at Army, vs. Georgia Tech, at Wake Forest; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 42%

Missouri- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Florida, vs. Tennessee, at Vanderbilt, at Arkansas; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 41%

Minnesota- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: at Michigan, vs. Nebraska, at Northwestern, vs. Wisconsin; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 40%

Vanderbilt- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Western Kentucky, vs. Kentucky, vs. Missouri, at Tennessee; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 39%

Indiana- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Wisconsin, at Illinois, vs. Rutgers, at Purdue; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 38%

Idaho- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: at Troy, vs. Coastal Carolina, at New Mexico State, at Georgia State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 37%

South Alabama- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. UL-Lafayette, vs. Arkansas State, at Georgia Southern, at New Mexico State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 36%

Miami-OH- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: at Ohio, vs. Akron, vs. Eastern Michigan, at Ball State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 35%

Pittsburgh- Record: 4-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. North Carolina, at Virginia Tech, vs. Miami-FL; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 34%

Arkansas- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Coastal Carolina, at LSU, vs. Mississippi State, vs. Missouri; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 33%

Eastern Michigan- Record: 2-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Ball State, at Central Michigan, vs. Bowling Green; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 32%

Purdue- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Illinois, at Northwestern, at Iowa, vs. Indiana; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 30%

UL-Lafayette- Record: 3-4; Remaining Schedule: at South Alabama, at Ole Miss, vs. New Mexico State, vs. Georgia Southern, at Appalachian State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 29%

Temple- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Navy, at Cincinnati, vs. UCF, at Tulsa; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 28%

Cincinnati- Record: 2-6; Remaining Schedule: at Tulane, vs. Temple, at East Carolina, vs. UConn; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 19%

Old Dominion- Record: 2-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Charlotte, at FIU, vs. Rice, at Middle Tennessee; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 18%

Buffalo- Record: 3-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Bowling Green, at Ball State, vs. Ohio; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 15%

Hawaii- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: at UNLV, vs. Fresno State, at Utah State, vs. BYU; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 12%

New Mexico- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Utah State, at Texas A & M, vs. UNLV, at San Diego State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 6%

Rutgers- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Maryland, at Penn State, at Indiana, vs. Michigan State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 5%

UConn- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. USF, at UCF, vs. Boston College, at Cincinnati; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 4%

Maryland- Record: 4-4; Remaining Schedule: at Rutgers, vs. Michigan, at Michigan State, vs. Penn State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 3%

Florida State- Record: 2-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Syracuse, at Clemson, vs. Delaware State, at Florida; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 2%

Ball State- Record: 2-6; Remaining Schedule: at Eastern Michigan, at Northern Illinois, vs. Buffalo, vs. Miami-OH; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 1.5%

Kent State- Record: 2-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Bowling Green, at Western Michigan, vs. Central Michigan, at Akron; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 1%

UMass- Record: 2-6; Remaining Schedule: at Mississippi State, vs. Maine, at BYU, at FIU; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 0.6%

UL-Monroe- Record: 3-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Appalachian State, at Auburn, vs. Arkansas State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 0.3%

East Carolina- Record: 2-6; Remaining Schedule: at Houston, vs. Tulane, vs. Cincinnati, at Memphis; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 0.2%

Illinois- Record: 2-6; Remaining Schedule: at Purdue, vs. Indiana, at Ohio State, vs. Northwestern; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 0.1%

Texas State- Record: 2-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. New Mexico State, vs. Georgia State, at Arkansas State, at Troy; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 0.1%

Already Bowl Eligible (39):  UCF, South Florida, Memphis, SMU, Clemson, NC State, Miami-FL, Virginia Tech, Iowa State, TCU, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Marshall, Notre Dame, Army, Ohio, Toledo, Northern Illinois, Boise State, Colorado State, San Diego State, Stanford, Washington, Washington State, Southern California, Arizona, Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Mississippi State, Troy

Already Ineligible for a Bowl Game (15):  Tulsa, North Carolina, Kansas, Baylor, Charlotte, Rice, UTEP, Brigham Young, Bowling Green, Nevada, San Jose State, Oregon State, Georgia Southern, Coastal Carolina, Ole Miss

Current Stats:

Already Bowl Eligible: 39

Predicted to be Bowl Eligible: 38 (77)

Already Ineligible for a Bowl Game: 15

Predicted not to become Bowl Eligible: 38 (53)

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Conference Championship Analysis- Inaugural 2017 Edition

For the ninth-straight year, I will be publishing weekly November columns analyzing the conference championship races.  Like my bowl bubble watch, there is not really a column like this on any other mainstream college football site.  Bold teams have already clinched their division or conference.  Italicized teams are my predicted champions of their respective conferences/divisions at this point in time.  This list is updated through all games played on October 28, 2017.

ACC AtlanticClemson (This is essentially a two team race between the Tigers and Wolfpack with the de facto division title game coming this Saturday in Raleigh.  I think the Tigers will win a close one there which means they will just have to beat lowly Florida State at home the following week to clinch the Atlantic.)

ACC CoastalMiami (I’m sticking with my preseason pick here despite their recent struggles.  The Hurricanes are unbeaten yet have looked increasingly unimpressive.  In fact, Miami is a field goal underdog at home this weekend against the Hokies of Virginia Tech.  However, Miami has that team of destiny feel you see every few years in college football, so I’m going to pick them to pull out a tight one against VT, which will all but give them the Coastal Division crown.  Even if Miami loses on Saturday, the Canes can still clinch the division with a Virginia Tech loss against Georgia Tech and wins against Virginia and Pitt.)

Big Ten EastOhio State (I picked the Buckeyes to lose their season finale Ann Arbor in my preseason predictions, and I’m going to stick with that prediction despite Michigan’s recent struggles.  With that being said, as long as Ohio State wins all their other games then they’ll still clinch the East over Penn State by virtue of the head-to-head tiebreaker).

Big Ten WestWisconsin (The Badgers may become the first team in the country to officially clinch their division crown, as all they need to do is beat lowly Indiana this Saturday.)

Big 12Oklahoma State/Oklahoma (So now that there is an official Big 12 title game, the battle for the # 2 spot is more important than actually winning the regular season championship.  In the preseason, I predicted that game to be a rematch of this Saturday’s Bedlam game between Oklahoma State and Oklahoma and I’m going to stick with that prediction despite the surprising rise of both TCU and Iowa State.  I think the Cowboys will win out to get the top spot in the conference, and Oklahoma will knock off TCU to get the # 2 spot.  The Cyclones currently have the upper hand on the conference race but I’m predicting that close losses this Saturday at West Virginia and next Saturday against Oklahoma State will knock them out of contention.)

Pac-12 NorthWashington (The Huskies have a huge game next Friday night at Stanford, but given the injury concerns of Bryce Love, I think Washington finds a way to win that one to take a stronghold on the division race.  They may need to also beat Wazzu in the Apple Cup to clinch the Pac-12 North but that shouldn’t be too tall of a task based on the way the Cougars have played on the road recently.)  

Pac-12 SouthSouthern California (USC and Arizona will hook up this Saturday night on Pac-12 After Dark in what should be a de facto division title game. Despite the meteoric rise of Arizona these past few weeks, I’m giving the Trojans the advantage since they will be playing in the Coliseum.  After that, the Men of Troy would just need to beat either Colorado or UCLA to become Pac-12 South champions.)    

SEC EastGeorgia (Unbelievably, the only challengers to the Dawgs in the East are perennial afterthoughts Kentucky and South Carolina.  However, Georgia plays both of those teams at home in the upcoming weeks and as long as they win both of those contests, or win one or the other and beat Auburn, then Georgia will win its long-awaited SEC East championship.

SEC WestAlabama (Despite Bama’s season-long reign of dominance over this conference, the Tide could very well lose the SEC West crown with a loss to either LSU or Auburn down the stretch.  I don’t see either of those things happening though, as I expect Bama to roll into Atlanta for the SEC Championship Game at 12-0.)

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Side Note: Interestingly, only two of my predicted Power 5 division champs have changed since the preseason, Clemson instead of Florida State in the ACC Atlantic and Georgia instead of Florida in the SEC East.  The same cannot be said about the Group of Five conference races, which are full of surprise contenders.

AAC EastUCF (Despite USF’s upset loss at home against Houston, the end of season clash between the Bulls and UCF should still be a de facto division title game.  I’m giving the Knights the advantage in that one thanks to home field advantage and a surprisingly more potent offense.  Keep in mind, this team finished 0-12 just two short seasons ago.)

AAC WestMemphis (Before the season, no one pegged Memphis’ November 18th matchup against SMU as a potential division championship game, but that is what it may very well end up being.  First, however, SMU will need to beat either UCF on Saturday or Navy the following week to make that game matter.  Either way, Memphis hosts SMU in that matchup, so they should clinch the AAC West regardless.

C-USA EastFlorida Atlantic (Conference USA definitely takes the crown as the conference with the most wide open division races.  Between the C-USA East and West, the league has at least eight teams with a realistic chance to get to its conference title game in December.  Shockingly, the teams I picked to finish 5th in their respective divisions, FAU in the East and North Texas in the West, are the outright conference leaders right now!  The Owls have a tough game this Saturday against Marshall, but if they get by the Thundering Herd, then the division will be theirs to lose.  I predict Florida Atlantic will lose one more game, at Louisiana Tech on November 11th, but Kiffin’s squad will still win a shocking division championship if they win the rest of their contests.)

C-USA WestLouisiana Tech (I picked the Ragin’ Cajuns to be the surprise Conference USA champions in the preseason, and I am sticking to it despite their current 2-2 conference record.  This week’s matchup between LA Tech and North Texas will go along way in determining who wins this division, and I’m giving Louisiana Tech the advantage there given that the game will be played in Ruston.  In addition, LA Tech will still need to have both Southern Miss and UAB drop one more game this season, but I think the Golden Eagles will lose at Marshall in their season finale and the Blazers will lose on the road to UT-San Antonio.)

MAC EastOhio (In what was supposed to be a two-team race between Ohio and Miami-OH, the Zips of Akron have surged to a surprising lead in this division.  Akron plays both of those teams in the upcoming weeks, so we’ll see what they are truly made of in November.  Ohio actually has the tougher remaining schedule and has to play the Zips on the road, but I still think they win the MAC East by first falling to Toledo but then beating Akron six days later.)

MAC WestToledo (The top two teams in this division square off in some Thursday night MAC-tion this week, as the Rockets host the Huskies of Northern Illinois.  Toledo is far and away the most talented team in this conference, so I am predicting they go on to post an undefeated mark in conference play and put themselves in position to contend for a New Year’s Six berth.

MWC MountainBoise State (In the preseason, this division race looked to be as wide open as ever, and through nine weeks, that assessment hasn’t changed.  The Broncos were my reluctant preseason MWC Mountain Champion pick, and I’m going to stick with them despite their difficult remaining schedule.  I think they will lose either at Colorado State or Fresno, but they can still afford one conference loss as long as CSU doesn’t win out.)

MWC WestSan Diego State (This was supposed to be San Diego State’s division to dominate this season, and it sure looked that way through the month of September.  However, the Bulldogs of Fresno State, have come out of nowhere to seize the MAC West lead and emerge as the early front runner for surprise team of college football in 2017.  UAB, Arizona, Florida Atlantic, Iowa State, and North Texas are also in the running for that crown, but none of those teams posted the putrid 1-11 mark that the Bulldogs did last season.  Nevertheless, Fresno has a brutal schedule down the stretch (at Hawaii, at Wyoming, and Boise) and even though they possess the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Aztecs, I think Fresno loses two of those contests to allow San Diego State to eek out a division title.)    

Sun BeltAppalachian State (The Sun Belt will finally break into two divisions and have a conference championship game starting next season, but unfortunately, that setup is not in place for 2017.  As a result, the two conference juggernauts, Appalachian State and Arkansas State, will not get a chance to play each other this season.  They both may end up tying for the conference championship at 8-0, but I’m predicting Troy knocks off the Red Wolves on December 2nd to give App. State the outright Sun Belt crown.)

Week 9 College Football Picks

These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident.  Lines are based on the current consensus spreads according to vegasinsider.com.

Appalachian State (-3.0) at UMass- 3:30
Western Kentucky (+7.5) vs. Florida Atlantic- 4:30
Arkansas State (-6.0) at New Mexico State- 8:00
West Virginia (+7.5) vs. Oklahoma State- 12:00
Baylor (+8.0) vs. Texas- 3:30
North Texas (-10.5) vs. Old Dominion- 6:30
San Jose State (+14.0) at Brigham Young- 3:00
Eastern Michigan (+7.0) at Northern Illinois- Thurs 7:00
South Carolina (-7.0) vs. Vanderbilt- 4:00
Texas A & M (+1.0) vs. Mississippi State- 7:15

Last Week’s Record: 6-4, Overall Season Record: 39-41

Week 9 College Football Upsets to Watch Out For

These are in order from least shocking to most shocking according to the current consensus lines on vegasinsider.com:

Virginia (+3.0) at Pittsburgh- 12:30
California (+3.0) at Colorado- 2:00
Oregon (+3.5) vs. Utah- 5:45
Tennessee (+5.5) at Kentucky- 7:30
Nebraska (+6.0) at Purdue- 7:30
Penn State (+6.0) at Ohio State- 3:30
Eastern Michigan (+7.0) at Northern Illinois- Thurs 7:00
Western Kentucky (+7.5) vs. Florida Atlantic- 4:30
West Virginia (+7.5) vs. Oklahoma State- 12:00
Baylor (+8.0) vs. Texas- 3:30
Texas State (+8.0) at Coastal Carolina- 6:00

Last week’s Upset Pick of the Week: Memphis (+3.0) over Houston

Week 8 College Football Picks

These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident.  Lines are based on the current consensus spreads according to vegasinsider.com.

Washington State (-10.0) vs. Colorado- 10:45
Michigan (+9.5) at Penn State- 7:30
Louisiana Tech (-2.5) vs. Southern Miss- 7:00
California (+2.5) vs. Arizona- 8:00
Arkansas State (-12.5) vs. UL-Lafayette- Thurs. 7:30
Western Kentucky (-10.0) at Old Dominion- Fri 6:00
Marshall (-2,5) at Middle Tennessee- Fri. 7:00
Troy (-7.5) at Georgia State- 2:00
Eastern Michigan (+3.0) vs. Western Michigan- 2:00
Georgia Tech (-7.0) vs. Wake Forest- 7:30

Last Week’s Record: 3-7, Overall Season Record: 33-37

Week 8 College Football Upsets to Watch Out For

These are in order from least shocking to most shocking according to the current consensus lines on vegasinsider.com:

Eastern Michigan (+3.0) vs. Western Michigan- 2:00
Memphis (+3.0) at Houston- Thurs. 8:00
North Texas (+3.5) at Florida Atlantic- 5:00
USC (+3.5) at Notre Dame- 7:30
Oregon (+6.5) at UCLA- 4:00
Ole Miss (+6.5) vs. LSU- 7:15
Texas (+7.0) vs. Oklahoma State- 12:00
Indiana (+7.0) at Michigan State- 3:30
Navy (+7.5) vs. UCF- 3:30
Michigan (+9.5) at Penn State- 7:30

Last week’s Upset Pick of the Week: California (+16.5) over Washington State

Week 7 College Football Picks

These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident.  Lines are based on the current consensus spreads according to statfox.com.

West Virginia (-3.5) vs. Texas Tech- 12:00
Michigan (-7.5) at Indiana- 12:00
Temple (-9.5) vs. UConn
Tennessee (-3.0) vs. South Carolina- 12:00
Middile Tennessee (-4.0) at UAB- 6:30
Mississippi State (-24.0) vs. BYU- 12:00
UTEP (+23.0) at Southern MIss- 7:00
Akron (+14.0) at Western Michigan- 3:30
New Mexico (+1.5) at Fresno State- 10:00
Wisconsin (-17.0) vs. Purdue- 3:30

Last Week’s Record: 3-7, Overall Season Record: 30-30