Brad-ketology: January 29th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Sunday January 28th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier

2-seeds: Kansas, Auburn, Duke, Oklahoma

3-seeds: North Carolina, Clemson, Tennessee, Arizona

4-seeds: Texas Tech, West Virginia, Michigan State, Rhode Island

5-seeds: Kentucky, Seton Hall, Butler, Arkansas

6-seeds: Ohio State, Creighton, Florida, Arizona State

7-seeds: Michigan, Louisville, Miami-FL, TCU

8-seeds: Wichita State, Cincinnati, Florida State, Texas

9-seeds: Alabama, Nevada, Providence, Syracuse

10-seeds: St. Mary’s, Gonzaga, Washington, Texas A & M

11-seeds: Houston, Kansas State, Marquette, Missouri, SMU, Southern California

12-seeds: Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-IL

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Wright State

14-seeds: UL-Lafayette, Belmont, Northeastern, UC Davis

15-seeds: Rider, Bucknell, Montana, Stephen F. Austin

16-seeds: Radford, Wagner, Penn, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: South Carolina, St. Bonaventure, UCLA, Georgia 

2-seeds: Utah, NC State, Maryland, Middle Tennessee

3-seeds: Western Kentucky, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Boise State

4-seeds: UCF, Temple, Nebraska, Notre Dame

5-seeds: Loyola-IL, Virginia Tech, Oregon, Boston College

6-seeds: Mississippi State, Colorado, Oklahoma State, South Dakota State

7-seeds: Vermont, East Tennessee State, Baylor, LSU

8-seeds: Ole Miss, Wright State, UL-Lafayette, Belmont

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Northeastern, Minnesota, Penn State, UC Davis, Stanford, Northwestern, Wyoming, Brigham Young, UConn, Missouri State, Indiana

 

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Brad-ketology: January 26th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Thursday January 25th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Duke

2-seeds: Xavier, Kansas, Oklahoma, North Carolina

3-seeds: Auburn, Clemson, West Virginia, Tennessee

4-seeds: Arizona, Texas Tech, Michigan State, Rhode Island

5-seeds: Seton Hall, Kentucky, Butler, Arkansas

6-seeds: Ohio State, Creighton, TCU, Miami-FL

7-seeds: Florida, Arizona State, Michigan, Louisville

8-seeds: Wichita State, Cincinnati, Florida State, Texas

9-seeds: Nevada, Syracuse, Providence, Alabama

10-seeds: Texas A & M, Missouri, Marquette, St. Mary’s

11-seeds: Gonzaga, Washington, Houston, South Carolina, Kansas State, SMU

12-seeds: New Mexico State, Middle Tennessee, Buffalo, Loyola-IL

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Wright State

14-seeds: Northeastern, UL-Lafayette, Belmont, UC Davis

15-seeds: Bucknell, Montana, Radford, Canisius

16-seeds: Robert Morris, Penn, Florida Gulf Coast, Nicholls State, Bethune Cookman, Arkansas Pine Bluff

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Georgia, Utah, St. Bonaventure, New Mexico State

2-seeds: UCLA, Maryland, Notre Dame, Southern California

3-seeds: Middle Tennessee, Western Kentucky, Buffalo, Boise State

4-seeds: NC State, UCF, Nebraska, Loyola-IL

5-seeds: Colorado, Oklahoma State, Oregon, Boston College

6-seeds: Virginia Tech, Mississippi State, Minnesota, Baylor

7-seeds: South Dakota State, LSU, Vermont, Ole Miss

8-seeds: East Tennessee State, UConn, Stanford, Wright State

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Iowa State, Missouri State, Northeastern, UL-Lafayette, Belmont, Memphis, UC Davis, Northwestern, Wyoming, Brigham Young

Brad-ketology: January 22nd Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Sunday January 21st.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Duke

2-seeds: Kansas, North Carolina, Xavier, West Virginia

3-seeds: Clemson, Auburn, Oklahoma, Tennessee

4-seeds: Arizona, Texas Tech, Michigan State, Rhode Island

5-seeds: Seton Hall, Kentucky, Ohio State, Arizona State

6-seeds: Butler, Arkansas, Florida, Louisville

7-seeds: Michigan, Creighton, Miami-FL, Wichita State

8-seeds: Nevada, Cincinnati, TCU, Florida State

9-seeds: Alabama, Texas A & M, Missouri, Texas

10-seeds: Marquette, Syracuse, Providence, St. Mary’s

11-seeds: Georgia, Gonzaga, Washington, SMU, Houston, Maryland

12-seeds: New Mexico State, Western Kentucky, Buffalo, South Dakota State

13-seeds: Loyola-IL, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Wright State

14-seeds: Northeastern, UL-Lafayette, Belmont, UC Davis

15-seeds: Stephen F. Austin, Bucknell, Montana, Radford

16-seeds: Canisius, Robert Morris, Penn, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: South Carolina, St. Bonaventure, New Mexico State, UCLA

2-seeds: Notre Dame, Western Kentucky, Southern California, Kansas State

3-seeds: UCF, Buffalo, Middle Tennessee, Boise State

4-seeds: Colorado, Utah, Nebraska, NC State

5-seeds: Minnesota, Mississippi State, Oklahoma State, South Dakota State

6-seeds: Boston College, Loyola-IL, Baylor, Oregon

7-seeds: Temple, Stanford, Missouri State, Virginia Tech

8-seeds: Vermont, Iowa State, East Tennessee State, LSU

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Wright State, Ole Miss, Northeastern, Tulane, UL-Lafayette, UConn, Belmont, Memphis, UC Davis

Brad-ketology: January 19th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Thursday January 18th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Duke

2-seeds: Kansas, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Xavier

3-seeds: West Virginia, Clemson, Auburn, Texas Tech

4-seeds: Michigan State, Seton Hall, Tennessee, Kentucky

5-seeds: Arizona, Rhode Island, Creighton, Ohio State

6-seeds: Arizona State, Butler, Wichita State, Arkansas

7-seeds: Louisville, Michigan, Miami-FL, TCU

8-seeds: Nevada, Cincinnati, Florida, Missouri

9-seeds: Texas, Florida State, Alabama, Texas A & M

10-seeds: Marquette, Syracuse, Providence, Georgia

11-seeds: Notre Dame, St. Mary’s, St. Bonaventure, UCLA, Washington, Gonzaga

12-seeds: Western Kentucky, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Missouri State

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Wright State, UC Davis, Vermont

14-seeds: East Tennessee State, Hofstra, UL-Lafayette, Belmont

15-seeds: Stephen F. Austin, Radford, Iona, Bucknell

16-seeds: Montana, Robert Morris, Penn, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A & T, Jackson State

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Houston, Western Kentucky, Maryland, New Mexico State

2-seeds: NC State, Southern California, Colorado, South Carolina

3-seeds: Boise State, Buffalo, SMU, Utah

4-seeds: Nebraska, Boston College, UCF, LSU

5-seeds: Mississippi State, Virginia Tech, Oklahoma State, Kansas State

6-seeds: Middle Tennessee, Oregon, Stanford, Missouri State

7-seeds: South Dakota State, Loyola-IL, Baylor, Minnesota

8-seeds: UConn, Ole Miss, Memphis, Wright State

Brad-ketology: The Inaugural 2018 Edition

With college football season officially over, it’s time to start dreaming about the glory that is March Madness.  It also means that is time for me to publish my first edition of Brad-ketology for the 2017 season (my personal NCAA/NIT bracket projections).  For the ninth consecutive season, this column will become the staple of my blog from now until Selection Sunday.   Brad-ketology is a little different than other NCAA bracket projections in that it is much more expansive, as it also includes the NIT field and bubble.  Furthermore, it is one of the columns used in the nationally-recognized bracket project which seeds NCAA teams by taking an average of the most prominent bracket projections in the country.  As you will see here, my bracket projection has been the 14th most accurate  amongst the 113 nationally recognized veteran bracketologists.  That’s not too bad considering I am ahead of the chief bracketologists for Yahoo, SI, CBS, and ESPN (Joe Lunardi’s got nothing on me).  In fact, last season I actually finished with the third most accurate bracket in the entire country!

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to the best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.  F Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will typically be published twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays) and more often than that when it gets closer to tourney time.  Please feel free to comment or debate.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Villanova, Virginia, Purdue, Duke

2-seeds: Kansas, Oklahoma, North Carolina, Xavier

3-seeds: West Virginia, Clemson, Seton Hall, Texas Tech

4-seeds: Auburn, Tennessee, Kentucky, Wichita State

5-seeds: Michigan State, Arizona, Arizona State, Rhode Island

6-seeds: Arkansas, Ohio State, Creighton, Michigan

7-seeds: Butler, Louisville, Miami-FL, TCU

8-seeds: Nevada, Marquette, Cincinnati, Florida State

9-seeds: Florida, Texas, Alabama, Texas A & M

10-seeds: Missouri, Syracuse, Providence, UCLA

11-seeds: Washington, Gonzaga, Georgia, Notre Dame, Houston, Maryland

12-seeds: Western Kentucky, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Missouri State

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Wright State, UC Davis, Vermont

14-seeds: East Tennessee State, William & Mary, UL-Lafayette, Belmont

15-seeds: Stephen F. Austin, Radford, Iona, Bucknell

16-seeds: Montana, Robert Morris, Penn, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A & T, Jackson State

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Western Kentucky, New Mexico State, NC State, LSU

2-seeds: St. Bonaventure, Saint Mary’s, Southern California, Colorado

3-seeds: Boise State, Middle Tennessee, Buffalo, UCF

4-seeds: South Carolina, San Diego State, Utah, Boston College

5-seeds: SMU, Oregon, Mississippi State, Virginia Tech

6-seeds: Oklahoma State, Nebraska, Minnesota, Ole Miss

7-seeds: UConn, Missouri State, South Dakota State, Stanford

8-seeds: Kansas State, Baylor, Memphis, Wright State

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: UC Davis, Vermont, Dayton, Indiana, Iowa State, Northwestern

My Final College Football Rankings (1-130)

1 UCF
2 Alabama
3 Wisconsin
4 Georgia
5 Clemson
6 Oklahoma
7 Ohio State
8 Penn State
9 Notre Dame
10 TCU
11 Oklahoma State
12 Michigan State
13 Northwestern
14 Southern Cal
15 Miami-FL
16 Washington
17 Troy
18 South Florida
19 Auburn
20 South Carolina
21 NC State
22 Mississippi State
23 Washington State
24 LSU
25 Virginia Tech
26 Florida Atlantic
27 Boise State
28 Army
29 San Diego State
30 Toledo
31 Memphis
32 Stanford
33 Iowa
34 Iowa State
35 Wake Forest
36 Kansas State
37 Michigan
38 Louisville
39 Fresno State
40 Appalachian State
41 Ohio
42 Texas
43 Utah
44 Florida State
45 Purdue
46 Duke
47 Arizona State
48 Texas A & M
49 Arizona
50 Kentucky
51 Oregon
52 Missouri
53 West Virginia
54 Boston College
55 Houston
56 Wyoming
57 Marshall
58 Georgia State
59 North Texas
60 Central Michigan
61 FIU
62 Northern Illinois
63 UAB
64 Arkansas State
65 Southern Miss
66 Georgia Tech
67 Ole Miss
68 Navy
69 Louisiana Tech
70 Temple
71 Middle Tennessee
72 New Mexico State
73 Colorado State
74 SMU
75 Akron
76 UCLA
77 Texas Tech
78 Virginia
79 Western Kentucky
80 Utah State
81 Western Michigan
82 UTSA
83 Buffalo
84 Pittsburgh
85 Florida
86 Colorado
87 Minnesota
88 Vanderbilt
89 California
90 Indiana
91 Syracuse
92 Nebraska
93 Tennessee
94 Maryland
95 Arkansas
96 Rutgers
97 Tulane
98 Eastern Michigan
99 Air Force
100 Miami-OH
101 UNLV
102 Old Dominion
103 UL-Lafayette
104 North Carolina
105 UMass
106 Cincinnati
107 Brigham Young
108 South Alabama
109 Idaho
110 UL-Monroe
111 Illinois
112 Nevada
113 East Carolina
114 New Mexico
115 UConn
116 Hawaii
117 Coastal Carolina
118 Baylor
119 Oregon State
120 Kansas
121 Tulsa
122 Bowling Green
123 San Jose State
124 Ball State
125 Georgia Southern
126 Kent State
127 Texas State
128 Charlotte
129 Rice
130 UTEP