Week 13 College Football Picks

These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident.  Lines are based on the current consensus spreads according to statfox.com.

Tennessee (-1.5) vs. Vanderbilt- 4:00
Cincinnati (-5.5) vs. UConn- 12:00
Kentucky (+10.0) vs. Louisville- 12:00
Florida (+5.5) vs. Florida State- 12:00
Ole Miss (+14.5) at Miss. State- Thurs. 7:30
Minnesota (+17.5) vs. Wisconsin- 3:30
UL-Lafayette (-6.0) vs. Georgia Southern- 5:00
UNLV (+3.0) at Nevada- 3:00
Old Dominion (+12.0) at Middle Tennessee- 3:00
Navy (+4.5) at Houston- Fri 12:00

Last Week’s Record: 4-6, Overall Season Record: 55-65

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Week 13 College Football Upsets to Watch Out For

These are in order from least shocking to most shocking according to the current consensus lines on statfox.com:

UNLV (+3.0) at Nevada- 3:00
Hawaii (+3.0) vs. Brigham Young- 9:00
Navy (+4.5) at Houston- Fri 12:00
Florida (+5.5) vs. Florida State- 12:00
Fresno St (+7.0) vs. Boise State- 3:30
Kentucky (+10.0) vs. Louisville- 12:00
Michigan (+12.5) vs. Ohio State- 12:00
Pittsburgh (+14.0) vs. Miami-FL- Fri 12:00
South Carolina (+14.0) vs. Clemson- 7:30

Last week’s Upset Pick of the Week: Tulane (+9.5) over Houston

Bowl Bubble Watch- Week 12 Edition

The most comprehensive analysis of the college football bowl bubble is back!  For the ninth-straight year, I will be publishing weekly November columns analyzing which teams will get bowl bids and which will not.  Below, I have written a report for every team that has yet to be declared either bowl eligible or ineligible.  Each week this list will be updated and new odds will be provided for each team.  Please note that these odds only represent the chances that a particular team will get enough wins to be eligible to receive a bowl bid.  They do not represent the odds a team has for actually receiving a bid.  This discrepancy likely won’t affect the bowl chances for most teams, but as we saw last year with Mississippi State and North Texas, sometimes a squad can fall short of bowl eligibility and still garner a bowl bid at 5-7 if all spots aren’t filled based on their APR.  The teams are ordered in descending order of likelihood that they will become bowl eligible.  As of now, there are 21 teams on the list with 9 predicted to attain bowl eligibility and 12 predicted to fall short.  As of now, I’m projecting there to be 79 bowl eligible teams for 2017 (see full stats at the bottom of this entry).  Keep in mind that there are a total of 78 bowl slots to be filled.  This list is updated through all games played on November 18th.  

Good Side of the Bowl Bubble: Teams closing in on bowl bids (9):

UL-Lafayette- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Georgia Southern, at Appalachian State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 62% (previous odds: 29%, 47%, 45%)

Utah- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: at Washington, vs. Colorado; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 61% (previous odds: 55%, 63%, 59%)

Middle Tennessee- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Old Dominion; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 59% (previous odds: 57%, 65%, 69%)

UCLA- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. California; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 57% (previous odds: 56%, 51%, 56%)

Louisiana Tech- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. UTSA; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 55% (previous odds: 62%, 55%, 54%)

New Mexico State- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Idaho, vs. South Alabama; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 54% (previous odds: 55.5%, 60%, 60%)

Purdue- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Indiana; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 53% (previous odds: 30%, 35%, 34%)

UNLV- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: at Nevada; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 52% (previous odds: 51%, 59%, 42%)

Temple- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: at Tulsa; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 51% (previous odds: 28%, 41.5%, 52%)

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Bad Side of the Bowl Bubble: Teams who will likely be home for the holidays (12):

Indiana- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: at Purdue; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 47% (previous odds: 38%, 37%, 46%)

Florida State- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: at Florida, vs. UL-Monroe; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 45% (previous odds: N/A, N/A, N/A)

California- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: at UCLA; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 43% (previous odds: 43%, 44%, 44%)

Duke- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: at Wake Forest; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 42% (previous odds: 42%, 42%, 30%)

Old Dominion- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: at Middle Tennessee; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 41% (previous odds: 18%, 22%, 37%)

Buffalo- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Ohio; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 40% (previous odds: 15%, 15%, 33%)

Colorado- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: at Utah; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 39% (previous odds: 46%, 39.5%, 39%)

Tulane- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: at SMU; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 38% (previous odds: 44%, 25%, 28%)

Texas Tech- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: at Texas; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 37% (previous odds: 54%, 40%, 38%)

Minnesota- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Wisconsin; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 24% (previous odds: 40%, 34.5%, 43%)

Georgia Tech- Record: 5-5 (only plays 11 games); Remaining Schedule: vs. Georgia; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 22% (previous odds: 67%, 43%, 58%)

UL-Monroe- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Arkansas State, at Florida State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 0.3% (previous odds: 0.3%, 0.4%, 0.4%)

 

Already Bowl Eligible (70):  UCF, South Florida, Memphis, SMU, Clemson, NC State, Miami-FL, Virginia Tech, Iowa State, TCU, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Marshall, Notre Dame, Army, Ohio, Toledo, Northern Illinois, Boise State, Colorado State, San Diego State, Stanford, Washington, Washington State, Southern California, Arizona, Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Mississippi State, Troy, Florida Atlantic (previous odds: 96%), Houston (previous odds: 99%), North Texas (previous odds: 97%), UAB (previous odds: 95%), Northwestern (previous odds: 91%), West Virginia (previous odds: 68%), Iowa (previous odds: 65%), FIU (previous odds: 88%), Virginia (previous odds: 49%), Wyoming (previous odds: 93%), Fresno State (previous odds: 92%), Western Michigan (previous odds: 98.5%, 91%), Central Michigan (previous odds: 49.5%, 75%), Appalachian State (previous odds: 99.5%, 95%), Wake Forest (previous odds: 66%, 64%), Southern Miss (previous odds: 97.5%, 97%), Texas A & M (previous odds: 98%, 96%), Georgia State (previous odds: 64%, 78%), Louisville (previous odds: 73%, 73%), Navy (previous odds: 78%, 70%), Akron (previous odds: 94%, 94%, 85%), Western Kentucky (previous odds: 74%, 67%, 61%), Texas (previous odds: 69%, 66%, 68%), Utah State (previous odds: 45%, 62%, 62%), Arkansas State (previous odds: 99.9%, 99.9%, 90%), Kansas State (previous odds: 48%, 50.5%, 48%), Arizona State (previous odds: 61%, 71%, 70%), UTSA (previous odds: 60%, 52%, 47%), Boston College (previous odds: 76%, 76%, 72%), Missouri (previous odds: 41%, 53%, 57%), Oregon  (previous odds: 77%, 74%, 74%)

Already Ineligible for a Bowl Game (39):  Tulsa, North Carolina, Kansas, Baylor, Charlotte, Rice, UTEP, Brigham Young, Bowling Green, Nevada, San Jose State, Oregon State, Georgia Southern, Coastal Carolina, Ole Miss, Kent State (previous odds: 1%), Ball State (previous odds: 1.5%), UMass (previous odds: 0.6%), East Carolina (previous odds: 0.2%), Illinois (previous odds: 0.1%), Texas State (previous odds: 0.1%), Eastern Michigan (previous odds: 32%, 36%), Cincinnati (previous odds: 19%, 35.5%), UConn  (previous odds: 4%, 1%), Florida (previous odds: 50.5%, 38%), Hawaii (previous odds: 12%, 10%), New Mexico (previous odds: 6%, 0.5%), Miami-OH (previous odds: 35%, 33%, 51%), Arkansas  (previous odds: 33%, 33.5%, 29%), Rutgers (previous odds: 5%, 8%, 7%), South Alabama (previous odds: 36%, 18%, 46.5%), Syracuse  (previous odds: 52%, 49%, 36%), Nebraska (previous odds: 53%, 39%, 10%), Maryland (previous odds: 3%, 0.7%, 0.5%), Idaho (previous odds: 37%, 32%, 32%), Vanderbilt (previous odds: 39%, 41%, 38%), Tennessee (previous odds: 47%, 47.5%, 35%), Air Force (previous odds: 63%, 48%, 27%),  Pittsburgh (previous odds: 34%, 34%, 19%),

 

Current Stats:

Already Bowl Eligible: 70

Predicted to be Bowl Eligible: 9 (79)

Already Ineligible for a Bowl Game: 39

Predicted not to become Bowl Eligible: 12 (51)

Conference Championship Analysis- Week 12 Edition

For the ninth-straight year, I will be publishing weekly November columns analyzing the conference championship races.  Like my bowl bubble watch, there is not really a column like this on any other mainstream college football site.  Bold teams have already clinched their division or conference.  Italicized teams are my predicted champions of their respective conferences/divisions at this point in time.  This list is updated through all games played on November 18, 2017.

ACC AtlanticClemson

ACC CoastalMiami-FL

Big Ten EastOhio State (The Buckeyes have clinched their first Big 10 East championship in 3 seasons and now look to win out and steal a bid in the college football playoff.  If that happens, I may break one or more of the televisions in my house!)

Big Ten WestWisconsin

Big 12Oklahoma/TCU (The Sooners have officially clinched the first berth in the Big 12 Title Game.  Meanwhile, TCU now stands alone in second and just needs to take care of business against Baylor next weekend to get a rematch against the Sooners in the Big 12 Title Game.  If the Frogs were to get upset by the Bears, then we could have a crazy five-way tie for the second berth into this inaugural conference championship game.)

Pac-12 NorthStanford (Would you believe that there is now a two team battle for this division crown, and Washington isn’t one of those two teams?  Instead, Stanford will clinch if Washington beats Washington State in next Saturday’s Apple Cup.  If Wazzu can somehow knock off Washington on the road, then Mike Leach will coach his first ever conference championship game against Southern Cal.)  

Pac-12 SouthSouthern California    

SEC EastGeorgia

SEC WestAlabama (For the first time since the “Kick Six” play in 2013, the Iron Bowl will serve as a de facto SEC West Championship game.)

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AAC EastUCF (A de facto AAC East championship game will be played the day after Thanksgiving between the Knights and the Bulls of South Florida.  Not only is a berth in the conference championship game on the line, but the winner also becomes the frontrunner for the Group of Five New Year’s Six bowl bid.)

AAC West Memphis (The Tigers have clinched the AAC West and are just two wins away from earning a New Year’s Six bowl berth.)

C-USA EastFlorida Atlantic (We’re going to have the ultimate Cinderella Conference Championship Game in Conference USA where the Owls of FAU, predicted to be 5th in the C-USA East, will play the Mean Green of North Texas, predicted to be 5th in the C-USA West.)

C-USA WestNorth Texas (The Mean Green are the Conference USA West Division champions!  Unbelievable!)

MAC EastAkron  (The Zips have taken firm control of the MAC thanks to their huge upset over Ohio.  All they have to do is beat lowly Kent State, and they claim their first MAC East title since 2005.  A loss by Akron would send Ohio to the title game as long as they beat Buffalo in their own season finale.)

MAC West Toledo (The Rockets will clinch the MAC West on Thanksgiving weekend with either a win Friday against Western Michigan or a Northern Illinois loss to Central Michigan.  If neither of those things happen, the Huskies of NIU will shock the world and become the surprise MAC West champions.)

MWC MountainBoise State (The Broncos and Bulldogs of Fresno will become the first teams in college football history to play each other in consecutive weeks, as the two matchup next Saturday and then again in the conference championship game the following weekend.  The winner of the first contest will earn home field advantage for the championship rematch.)

MWC WestFresno State (The Fresno State Bulldogs are officially the surprise team of 2017 as they have gone from finishing 1-11 last season to winning the MWC West Division!)    

Sun BeltArkansas State/Appalachian State (The Sun Belt championship race is as wide open as any title race in the entire country.  There is currently a four-way tie for the conference lead between Troy, Georgia State, Appalachian State, and Arkansas State, all of whom all have only one conference loss.  There are two head-to-matchups between these four down the stretch, as App plays at Georgia State on November 25th and Troy visits Arkansas State the following Saturday.  After everything plays itself out, I believe Arkansas State and Appalachian State both win their remaining games and end up sharing the conference title since the two never played each other during the season.  Sadly, this league does not have a conference championship game until next season.)

Week 12 College Football Picks

These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident.  Lines are based on the current consensus spreads according to statfox.com.

NC State (+1.5) at Wake Forest- 7:30
Texas A & M (+3.0) at Ole Miss- 7:00
Michigan (+7.5) at Wisconsin- 12:00
Wyoming (+2.5) vs. Fresno State- 2:00
Western Kentucky (+2.0) vs. Middle Tennessee- Fri 8:00
Georgia Tech (-6.5) at Duke- 3:30
TCU (-6.5) at Texas Tech- 12:00
Idaho (-9.0) vs. Coastal Carolina- 5:00
Iowa (-7.5) vs. Purdue- 3:30
Southern Miss (-17.0) vs. Charlotte- 3:00

Last Week’s Record: 1-9 (rough day in the office!), Overall Season Record: 51-59

Week 12 College Football Upsets to Watch Out For

These are in order from least shocking to most shocking according to the current consensus lines on statfox.com:

Western Kentucky (+3.0) vs. Middle Tennessee- 8:00
East Carolina (+3.5) vs. Cincinnati- 12:00
Michigan (+7.5) at Wisconsin- 12:00
Vanderbilt (+8.5) vs. Missouri- 7:30
Tulane (+9.5) vs. Houston- 4:00
Western Michigan (+10.0) at Northern Illinois- Wed 7:00
Rutgers (+11.0) at Indiana- 12:00
Tennessee (+16.0) vs. LSU- 7:00

Last week’s Upset Pick of the Week: Stanford (+6.0) over Washington

Bowl Bubble Watch- Week 11 Edition

The most comprehensive analysis of the college football bowl bubble is back!  For the ninth-straight year, I will be publishing weekly November columns analyzing which teams will get bowl bids and which will not.  Below, I have written a report for every team that has yet to be declared either bowl eligible or ineligible.  Each week this list will be updated and new odds will be provided for each team.  Please note that these odds only represent the chances that a particular team will get enough wins to be eligible to receive a bowl bid.  They do not represent the odds a team has for actually receiving a bid.  This discrepancy likely won’t affect the bowl chances for most teams, but as we saw last year with Mississippi State and North Texas, sometimes a squad can fall short of bowl eligibility and still garner a bowl bid at 5-7 if all spots aren’t filled based on their APR.  The teams are ordered in descending order of likelihood that they will become bowl eligible.  As of now, there are 43 teams on the list with 17 predicted to attain bowl eligibility and 26 predicted to fall short.  As of now, I’m projecting there to be 76 bowl eligible teams for 2017 (see full stats at the bottom of this entry).  Keep in mind that there are a total of 78 bowl slots to be filled.  This list is updated through all games played on November 11th.  

Good Side of the Bowl Bubble: Teams closing in on bowl bids (17):

Arkansas State- Record: 5-4; Remaining Schedule: vs. Texas State, at UL-Monroe, vs. Troy; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 90% (previous odds: 99.9%, 99.9%)

Akron- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Ohio, vs. Kent State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 85% (previous odds: 94%, 94%)

Oregon- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Arizona, vs. Oregon State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 74% (previous odds: 77%, 74%)

Boston College- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. UConn, at Syracuse; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 72% (previous odds: 76%, 76%)

Arizona State- Record: 5-4; Remaining Schedule: at Oregon State, vs. Arizona; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 70% (previous odds: 61%, 71%)

Middle Tennessee- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: at Western Kentucky, vs. Old Dominion; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 69% (previous odds: 57%, 65%)

Texas- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: at West Virginia, vs. Texas Tech; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 68% (previous odds: 69%, 66% )

Utah State- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Hawaii, at Air Force; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 62% (previous odds: 45%, 62%)

Western Kentucky- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. Middle Tennessee, at FIU; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 61% (previous odds: 74%, 67%)

New Mexico State- Record: 4-5; Remaining Schedule: at UL-Lafayette, vs. Idaho, vs. South Alabama; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 60% (previous odds: 55.5%, 60%)

Utah- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: at Washington, vs. Colorado; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 59% (previous odds: 55%, 63%)

Georgia Tech- Record: 5-4 (only plays 11 games); Remaining Schedule: at Duke, vs. Georgia; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 58% (previous odds: 67%, 43%)

Missouri- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: at Vanderbilt, at Arkansas; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 57% (previous odds: 41%, 53%)

UCLA- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: at Southern California, vs. California; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 56% (previous odds: 56%, 51%)

Louisiana Tech- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: at UTEP, vs. UTSA; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 54% (previous odds: 62%, 55%)

Temple- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. UCF, at Tulsa; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 52% (previous odds: 28%, 41.5%)

Miami-OH- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Eastern Michigan, at Ball State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 51% (previous odds: 35%, 33%)

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Bad Side of the Bowl Bubble: Teams who will likely be home for the holidays (26):

Kansas State- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: at Oklahoma State, vs. Iowa State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 48% (previous odds: 48%, 50.5%)

UTSA- Record: 5-4 (only plays 11 games); Remaining Schedule: vs. Marshall, at Louisiana Tech; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 47% (previous odds: 60%, 52%)

South Alabama- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: at Georgia Southern, at New Mexico State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 46.5% (previous odds: 36%, 18%)

Indiana- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Rutgers, at Purdue; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 46% (previous odds: 38%, 37%)

UL-Lafayette- Record: 4-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. New Mexico State, vs. Georgia Southern, at Appalachian State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 45% (previous odds: 29%, 47%)

California- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: at Stanford, at UCLA; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 44% (previous odds: 43%, 44%)

Minnesota- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: at Northwestern, vs. Wisconsin; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 43% (previous odds: 40%, 34.5%)

UNLV- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule:  at New Mexico, at Nevada; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 42% (previous odds: 51%, 59%)

Texas Tech- Record: 5-5; Remaining Schedule: vs. TCU, at Texas; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 41% (previous odds: 54%, 40%)

Colorado- Record: 5-6; Remaining Schedule: at Utah; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 39% (previous odds: 46%, 39.5%)

Vanderbilt- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Missouri, at Tennessee; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 38% (previous odds: 39%, 41%)

Old Dominion- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Rice, at Middle Tennessee; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 37% (previous odds: 18%, 22%)

Syracuse- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: at Louisville, vs. Boston College; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 36% (previous odds: 52%, 49%)

Tennessee- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. LSU, vs. Vanderbilt; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 35% (previous odds: 47%, 47.5%)

Purdue- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: at Iowa, vs. Indiana; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 34% (previous odds: 30%, 35%)

Buffalo- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: at Ball State, vs. Ohio; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 33% (previous odds: 15%, 15%)

Idaho- Record: 3-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Coastal Carolina, at New Mexico State, at Georgia State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 32% (previous odds: 37%, 32%)

Duke- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Georgia Tech, at Wake Forest; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 30% (previous odds: 42%, 42%)

Arkansas- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Mississippi State, vs. Missouri; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 29% (previous odds: 33%, 33.5%)

Tulane- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: vs. Houston, at SMU; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 28% (previous odds: 44%, 25%)

Air Force- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: at Boise State, vs. Utah State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 27% (previous odds: 63%, 48%)

Pittsburgh- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: at Virginia Tech, vs. Miami-FL; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 19% (previous odds: 34%, 34%)

Nebraska- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: at Penn State, vs. Iowa; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 10% (previous odds: 53%, 39%)

Rutgers- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: at Indiana, vs. Michigan State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 7% (previous odds: 5%, 8%)

Maryland- Record: 4-6; Remaining Schedule: at Michigan State, vs. Penn State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 0.5% (previous odds: 3%, 0.7%)

UL-Monroe- Record: 4-5 (only plays 11 games); Remaining Schedule: at Auburn, vs. Arkansas State; Odds of Bowl Eligibility: 0.4% (previous odds: 0.3%, 0.4%)

Already Bowl Eligible (59):  UCF, South Florida, Memphis, SMU, Clemson, NC State, Miami-FL, Virginia Tech, Iowa State, TCU, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Marshall, Notre Dame, Army, Ohio, Toledo, Northern Illinois, Boise State, Colorado State, San Diego State, Stanford, Washington, Washington State, Southern California, Arizona, Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Mississippi State, Troy, Florida Atlantic (previous odds: 96%), Houston (previous odds: 99%), North Texas (previous odds: 97%), UAB (previous odds: 95%), Northwestern (previous odds: 91%), West Virginia (previous odds: 68%), Iowa (previous odds: 65%), FIU (previous odds: 88%), Virginia (previous odds: 49%), Wyoming (previous odds: 93%), Fresno State (previous odds: 92%), Western Michigan (previous odds: 98.5%, 91%), Central Michigan (previous odds: 49.5%, 75%), Appalachian State (previous odds: 99.5%, 95%), Wake Forest (previous odds: 66%, 64%), Southern Miss (previous odds: 97.5%, 97%), Texas A & M (previous odds: 98%, 96%), Georgia State (previous odds: 64%, 78%), Louisville (previous odds: 73%, 73%), Navy (previous odds: 78%, 70%)

Already Ineligible for a Bowl Game (28):  Tulsa, North Carolina, Kansas, Baylor, Charlotte, Rice, UTEP, Brigham Young, Bowling Green, Nevada, San Jose State, Oregon State, Georgia Southern, Coastal Carolina, Ole Miss, Kent State (previous odds: 1%), Ball State (previous odds: 1.5%), UMass (previous odds: 0.6%), East Carolina (previous odds: 0.2%), Illinois (previous odds: 0.1%), Texas State (previous odds: 0.1%), Eastern Michigan (previous odds: 32%, 36%), Cincinnati (previous odds: 19%, 35.5%), UConn  (previous odds: 4%, 1%), Florida (previous odds: 50.5%, 38%), Florida State (previous odds: 2%, 4%), Hawaii (previous odds: 12%, 10%), New Mexico (previous odds: 6%, 0.5%)

Current Stats:

Already Bowl Eligible: 59

Predicted to be Bowl Eligible: 17 (76)

Already Ineligible for a Bowl Game: 28

Predicted not to become Bowl Eligible: 26 (54)