Brad’s 18th Annual Mock 16-Team College Football Playoff

For the 18th straight season, I have created a mock college football playoff bracket based my proposed college football playoff system.  I know that a four-team playoff has emerged, but I still think we can do a lot better.  You will see below that 16 is clearly the magic number for the ideal college football playoff, as I will present to you the most comprehensive college football playoff proposal you will see anywhere.  Anyone that would like to see this playoff in an excel bracket format then just let me know, and I’ll send you a copy.

The Field: Clemson (ACC  Champ),  Ohio State (Big 10 Champ), Oklahoma (Big 12 Champ), Oregon (Pac-12 Champ), LSU (SEC Champ), Memphis (AAC Champ), Boise State (MWC Champ), Florida Atlantic (C-USA Champ), Miami-OH (MAC Champ), Appalachian State (Sun Belt Champ), Georgia (at-large, # 5 in Playoff Rankings), Baylor (at-large, # 7 in Playoff Rankings), Wisconsin (at-large, # 8 in Playoff Rankings), Florida (at-large, # 9 in Playoff Rankings), Penn State (at-large, # 10 in Playoff Rankings), Utah (at-large, # 11 in Playoff Rankings)

South Regional

(1) LSU vs. (4) Florida Atlantic, Saturday December 21st- 12:00 (ABC), Shreveport, LA

(2) Wisconsin vs. (3) Utah, Thursday December 19th- 8:00 (ESPN), Honolulu, HI

Winners play Saturday December 28th at 4:00 in Atlanta, GA (ABC)

West Regional

(1) Oklahoma vs. (4) Boise State, Saturday December 21st- 4:00 (ESPN), Fort Worth, TX

(2) Georgia vs. (3) Memphis, Saturday December 21st- 8:00 (ESPN), Jacksonville, FL

Winners play Saturday December 28th at 8:00 in Glendale, AZ (ESPN)

Midwest Regional

(1) Ohio State vs. (4) Miami-OH, Friday December 20th- 8:00 (ESPN), New York, NY

(2) Baylor vs. (3) Florida, Saturday December 21st- 4:00 (ABC), Frisco, TX

Winners play Saturday December 28th at 4:00 in Arlington, TX (ESPN)

East Regional

(1) Clemson vs. (4) Appalachian State, Saturday December 28th- 12:00 (ESPN), Birmingham, AL

(2) Oregon vs. (3) Penn State, Saturday December 21st- 8:00 (ABC), San Francisco, CA

Winners play Saturday December 28 at 12:00 in Orlando, FL (ABC)

Final Four/Championship

South Champ vs. West Champ, Saturday January 4th- 4:00 (ESPN), New Orleans, LA

Midwest Champ vs. West Champ, Saturday January 4th- 8:00 (ESPN), Miami, FL

Championship Game, Monday Jan 13th- 8:00 (ESPN), Pasadena, CA

Basic Format:

  • 16 teams (10 conference championships and 6 at-larges chosen by the top 6 in the Playoff Rankings, which can be chosen exactly as it is now with a committee of 12/13.)
  • 4 regions (teams seeded 1-4 based on committee)
  • Bowl sites will become tourney sites.  See further explanation below.
  • Selection Sunday will be held the day after conference championship day and the first game will be played two weeks after that or one week depending on how late regular season ends.
  • A couple of special stipulations are that two teams from the same conference can’t play in the same region, and each conference is limited to four total playoff teams.
  • Teams can’t play on their home field except in semifinals or finals.

Scheduling:

  • I’ve even drafted a mock game schedule that takes into consideration both the interests of the viewers and  television providers.  I’m going to assume that ABC/ESPN buy the rights to playoff coverage, since they have already purchased future New Year’s Six coverage rights.
  • Week 1 (First Round):  Game 1: Thursday 8:00- second best game of the week (ESPN);  Game 2: Friday 8:00- worst game of the week (ESPN); Games 3 and 4: Saturday 12:00- two non-west region games (ABC/ESPN split); Games 5 and 6: Saturday 3:30- two games of any type (ABC/ESPN split); Games 7 and 8: Saturday 8:00- game of the week is on ABC; ESPN has other game.
  • Week 2 (Elite 8): Game 1: Saturday 12:00- Third biggest game of the week but can’t be midwest/west regional final (ESPN); Game 2: Saturday 3:30- Worst game of the week (ESPN); Game 3: Saturday 3:30- Second biggest game of the week (ABC); Game 4: Saturday 8:00- Featured game of the week (ABC).
  • Week 3 (Final Four): Game 1: Saturday 3:30- Second biggest game of the week (ESPN); Game 2: Saturday 8:00- Featured game of the week (ESPN).
  • Week 4 (Championship Game): Saturday 8:00 (ESPN)

Playoff Sites:

  • Lower-tier bowl sites will become first round sites on a rotational basis.   
  •  2019: Jacksonville, FL; New York, NY; Shreveport, LA; Birmingham, AL; Fort Worth, TX; Frisco, TX; San Francisco, CA; Honolulu, HI.  2020: Charlotte, NC; Detroit, MI; Nashville, TN; Montgomery, AL; El Paso, TX; Dallas, TX; Boise, ID; San Diego, CA.  2021: Tampa, FL; Annapolis, MD; Memphis, TN; Mobile, AL; San Antonio, TX; Houston, TX; Albuquerque, NM; Las Vegas, NV;
  •  The bowl sites of Arlington, TX (Cotton), Orlando, FL (Citrus), Glendale, AZ (Fiesta), and Atlanta, GA (Peach) will be annual elite 8 sites.
  • The Final Four/Championship games will be held in Pasadena, New Orleans, and Miami.  The championship game will rotate between the 3 sites, and the two final four games will be played in the non-championship cities.
  • The first-round sites that are off of the playoff rotation will still hold bowl games.  More explanation on that to follow.

Remaining Bowl Games:

  • This is the time where things get tricky, as I try to accommodate the rest of the bowl eligible teams who do not make the 16-team playoff.
  • There will be 20 bowl games held at all the first-round sites who are off  of the playoff rotation and the three bowl-only sites of: Nassau, Bahamas, Tucson, AZ, and Boca Raton, FL.
  • The names of the bowls will remain the same.
  • The tie-ins for the bowls will try to replicate those for the current bowl games with the obvious omission of all tie-ins of conference champions.  Also, the number of bowl teams from each conference may fluctuate depending on how many teams it sends to the playoff in a particular season.
  • Overall, in this system there will be 56 1-A postseason teams (16 in playoff, 40 in bowls), which is much more reasonable than the current number of 78.
  • Because there are less bowls, we are going to make admission into them more selective by requiring that all teams have a winning record in order to make a bowl.  Thus, all 6-6 teams are excluded from this model.
  • Here would be this year’s bowl schedule based on these principles:
  • Date Bowl Teams Time
    Dec. 20 Bahamas Indiana (8-4) vs. Wake Forest (8-4) 2:00 ESPN
    Dec. 23 Gasparilla (Tampa) UCF (9-3) vs. Marshall (8-4) 2:30 ESPN
    Dec. 24 Las Vegas Utah State (7-5) vs. Washington (7-5) 8:00 ESPN
    Dec. 26 Camellia (Montgomery) Western Michigan (7-5) vs. Louisiana Tech (9-3) 4:00 ESPN
    Dec. 26 Quick Lane (Detroit) Iowa State (7-5) vs. Pittsburgh (7-5) 8:00 ESPN
    Dec. 27 Military Western Kentucky (8-4) vs. Temple (8-4) 12:00 ESPN
    Dec. 27 Boca Raton Virginia (9-4) vs. SMU (10-2) 3:20 ESPN
    Dec. 27 Texas Oklahoma State (8-4) vs. Texas A & M (7-5) 6:45 ESPN
    Dec. 27 Holiday Iowa (9-3) vs. Southern Cal (8-4) 8:00 FS1
    Dec. 27 New Mexico San Diego State (9-3) vs. Central Michigan (8-5) 10:15 ESPN
    Dec. 30 Famous Idaho Potato Brigham Young (7-5) vs. Hawaii (9-5) 3:30 ESPN
    Dec. 31 Belk Virginia Tech (8-4) vs. Kentucky (7-5) 12:00 ESPN
    Dec. 31 Sun Arizona State (7-5) vs. Cincinnati (10-3) 2:00 CBS
    Dec. 31 Liberty Kansas State (8-4) vs. Navy (9-2) 3:45 ESPN
    Dec. 31 Arizona California (7-5) vs. Air Force (10-2) 4:30 CBSS
    Dec. 31 Alamo Texas (7-5) vs. Notre Dame (10-2) 7:30 ESPN
    Jan. 1 Outback Auburn (9-3) vs. Minnesota (10-2) 1:00 ABC
    Jan. 1 First Responder (Dallas) Michigan (9-3) vs. Alabama (10-2) 1:00 ESPN
    Jan. 1 Music City Louisville (7-5) vs. Tennessee (7-5) 4:00 ESPN
    Jan. 1 Lending Tree (Mobile) UAB (9-4) vs. UL-Lafayette (10-3) 8:45 ESPN

2019 Comprehensive College Football Bowl Schedule

So I have had difficulty in the past few days finding a college football bowl schedule that contains all of the following details: each teams records, all the games in chronological order, the correct game time and channel information, and the point spread.  As a result, I have created a comprehensive college bowl schedule and posted it here below.  There will be many more bowl posts coming in the next few days but I will start things off with just giving everyone a schedule that has all the info they will need.

Date Bowl Teams Time Ch. Spread
Dec. 20 Bahamas Charlotte (7-5) vs. Buffalo (7-5) 2:00 ESPN Buffalo (-6.5)
Dec. 20 Frisco Utah State (7-5) vs. Kent State (6-6) 7:30 ESPN 2 Utah State (-7.0)
Dec. 21 New Mexico San Diego State (9-3) vs. Central Michigan (8-5) 2:00 ESPN San Diego State (-3.5)
Dec. 21 Cure (Orlando) Liberty (7-5) vs. Georgia Southern (7-5)) 2:30 CBSS Georgia Southern (-5.0)
Dec. 21 Boca Raton Florida Atlantic (10-3) vs. SMU (10-2) 3:30 ABC SMU (-3.0)
Dec. 21 Camellia (Montgomery) Arkansas State (6-6) vs. Florida International (6-6) 5:30 ESPN Arkansas State (-2.5)
Dec. 21 Las Vegas Boise State (12-1) vs. Washington (7-5) 7:30 ABC Washington (-3.5)
Dec. 21 New Orleans Appalachian State (12-1) vs. UAB (9-4) 9:00 ESPN App. State (-16.5)
Dec. 23 Gasparilla (Tampa) UCF (9-3) vs. Marshall (8-4) 2:30 ESPN UCF (-17.5)
Dec. 24 Hawaii Brigham Young (7-5) vs. Hawaii (9-5) 8:00 ESPN BYU (-1.5)
Dec. 26 Independence Miami-FL (6-6) vs. Louisiana Tech (9-3) 4:00 ESPN Miami-FL (-6.5)
Dec. 26 Quick Lane (Detroit) Eastern Michigan (6-6) vs. Pittsburgh (7-5) 8:00 ESPN Pittsburgh (-11.0)
Dec. 27 Military North Carolina (6-6) vs. Temple (8-4) 12:00 ESPN North Carolina (-5.5)
Dec. 27 Pinstripe Michigan State (6-6) vs. Wake Forest (8-4) 3:20 ESPN Michigan State (-4.5)
Dec. 27 Texas Oklahoma State (8-4) vs. Texas A & M (7-5) 6:45 ESPN Texas A & M (-7.0)
Dec. 27 Holiday Iowa (9-3) vs. Southern Cal (8-4) 8:00 FS1 Iowa (-2.0)
Dec. 27 Cheez-It (Phoenix) Washington State (6-6) vs. Air Force (10-2) 10:15 ESPN Air Force (-3.0)
Dec. 28 Camping World Notre Dame (10-2) vs. Iowa State (7-5) 12:00 ABC Notre Dame (-3.5)
Dec. 28 Cotton Memphis (12-1) vs. Penn State (10-2) 12:00 ESPN Penn State (-7.0)
Dec. 28 Peach (Semifinal # 1) LSU (13-0) vs. Oklahoma (13-0) 4:00 ESPN LSU (-13.0)
Dec. 28 Fiesta (Semifinal # 2) Ohio State (13-0) vs. Clemson (13-0) 8:00 ESPN Clemson (-2.0)
Dec. 30 First Responder (Dallas) Western Michigan (7-5) vs. Western Kentucky (8-4) 12:30 ESPN Western Kentucky (-3.5)
Dec. 30 Music City Louisville (7-5) vs. Mississippi State (6-6) 4:00 ESPN Louisville (-3.5)
Dec. 30 Redbox (San Francisco) Illinois (6-6) vs. California (7-5) 4:00 FOX California (-7.0)
Dec. 30 Orange Virginia (9-4) vs. Florida (10-2) 8:00 ESPN Florida (-14.0)
Dec. 31 Belk Virginia Tech (8-4) vs. Kentucky (7-5) 12:00 ESPN Virginia Tech (-3.0)
Dec. 31 Sun Arizona State (7-5) vs. Florida State (6-6) 2:00 CBS Arizona State (-4.0)
Dec. 31 Liberty Kansas State (8-4) vs. Navy (9-2) 3:45 ESPN Navy (-2.5)
Dec. 31 Arizona Wyoming (7-5) vs. Georgia State (7-5) 4:30 CBSS Wyoming (-7.0)
Dec. 31 Alamo Texas (7-5) vs. Utah (11-2) 7:30 ESPN Utah (-7.5)
Jan. 1 Outback Auburn (9-3) vs. Minnesota (10-2) 1:00 ESPN Auburn (-7.5)
Jan. 1 Citrus Michigan (9-3) vs. Alabama (10-2) 1:00 ABC Alabama (-7.0)
Jan. 1 Rose Wisconsin (10-3) vs. Oregon (11-2) 5:00 ESPN Wisconsin (-2.5)
Jan. 1 Sugar Georgia (11-2) vs. Baylor (11-2) 8:45 ESPN Georgia (-7.5)
Jan. 2 Birmingham Boston College (6-6) vs. Cincinnati (10-3) 3:00 ESPN Cincinnati (-7.0)
Jan. 2 Gator Tennessee (7-5) vs. Indiana (8-4) 7:00 ESPN Tennessee (-1.5)
Jan. 3 Famous Idaho Potato Ohio (6-6) vs. Nevada (7-5) 3:30 ESPN Ohio (-7.5)
Jan. 4 Armed Forces Tulane (6-6) vs. Southern Miss (7-5) 11:30 (AM) ESPN Tulane (-7.0)
Jan. 6 Lending Tree (Mobile) Miami-OH (8-5) vs. UL-Lafayette (10-3) 7:30 ESPN UL-Lafayette (-14.0)

Week 15 College Football Picks

These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident.  Lines are based on the current spreads from the Five Dimes sportsbook.

App. State (-6.0) vs. UL-Lafayette- 12:00
Oregon (+6.5) vs. Utah- (Fri) 8:00
Central Michigan (-7.0) vs. Miami-OH- 12:00
Hawaii (+13.5) at Boise State- 4:00
Cincinnati (+9.5) vs. Memphis- 3:30
LSU (-7.0) vs. Georgia- 4:00
UAB (+7.5) vs. Florida Atlantic- 1:30
Virginia (+28.5) vs. Clemson- 7:30
Ohio State (-16.5) vs. Wisconsin- 8:00
Oklahoma (-9.0) vs. Baylor- 12:00

Last Week’s Record: 3-7 (first bad week of the year), Overall Season Record: 84-56 (still really good!)

Week 15 College Football Upsets to Watch Out For

These are in order from least shocking to most shocking according to the current consensus lines on the Vegas Insider website.

Oregon (+6.5) vs. Utah- (Fri) 8:00
Georgia (+7.0) vs. LSU- 4:00
Cincinnati (+10.0) vs. Memphis- 3:30
Hawaii (+15.0) at Boise State- 4:00

Last week’s Upset Pick of the Week: Kansas State (+5.0) over Iowa State

Brad’s 25th Annual College Football Bowl Projections

For the 25th consecutive season, I have created a projection of what the bowl games will look like when the full lineup is released next Sunday.  Interestingly, I am predicting Utah to win the Pac-12 title game but still get passed by Oklahoma for the final playoff spot due to brand new bias and prestige.  Also, I am calling for Eastern Michigan to be the one bowl eligible squad not to get a bid this season, based on their last place finish in the MAC West.  Please feel free to comment.

Date Bowl Teams Time Channel
1 20-Dec Bahamas Marshall Western Michigan 2:00 ESPN
2 20-Dec Frisco Charlotte Kent State 7:30 ESPN 2
3 21-Dec New Mexico Western Kentucky Nevada 2:00 ESPN
4 21-Dec Cure SMU Georgia Southern 2:30 CBSS
5 21-Dec Boca Raton Navy Miami-OH 3:30 ABC
6 21-Dec Camellia Buffalo Arkansas State 5:30 ESPN
7 21-Dec Las Vegas Boise State Washington State 7:30 ABC
8 21-Dec New Orleans UAB Appalachian State 9:00 ESPN
9 23-Dec Gasparilla Bowl Cincinnati Florida Atlantic 2:30 ESPN
10 24-Dec Hawaii BYU Hawaii 8:00 ESPN
11 26-Dec Independence Miami-FL Southern Miss 4:00 ESPN
12 26-Dec Quick Lane Boston College Indiana 8:00 ESPN
13 27-Dec Military Temple North Carolina 12:00 ESPN
14 27-Dec Pinstripe Pittsburgh Michigan State 3:20 ESPN
15 27-Dec Texas Oklahoma State Arizona State 6:45 ESPN
16 27-Dec Holiday Iowa Southern Cal 8:00 FS1
17 27-Dec Cheez-It (Cactus) Air Force Toledo 10:15 ESPN
18 28-Dec Camping World Notre Dame Iowa State 12:00 ABC
19 28-Dec Cotton Florida Memphis 12:00 ESPN
20 28-Dec Peach LSU Oklahoma 4:00 ESPN
21 28-Dec Fiesta Ohio State Clemson 8:00 ESPN
22 30-Dec First Responder Liberty Louisiana Tech 12:30 ESPN
23 30-Dec Music City Louisville Mississippi State 4:00 ESPN
24 30-Dec Redbox (San Francisco) Illinois Washington 4:00 FOX
25 30-Dec Orange Virginia Alabama 8:00 ESPN
26 31-Dec Belk Virginia Tech Kentucky 12:00 ABC
27 31-Dec Sun Wake Forest California 2:00 CBS
28 31-Dec Liberty Kansas State Tulane 3:45 ESPN
29 31-Dec Arizona Georgia State Wyoming 4:30 CBSS
30 31-Dec Alamo Texas Oregon 7:30 ESPN
31 1-Jan Citrus Wisconsin Auburn 1:00 ABC
32 1-Jan Outback Minnesota Texas A & M 1:00 ESPN
33 1-Jan Rose Utah Penn State 5:00 ESPN
34 1-Jan Sugar Baylor Georgia 8:45 ESPN
35 2-Jan Birmingham UCF Florida State 3:00 ESPN
36 2-Jan Taxslayer (Gator) Michigan Tennessee 7:00 ESPN
37 3-Jan Famous Idaho Potato Ohio San Diego State 3:30 ESPN
38 4-Jan Armed Forces FIU Utah State 11:30 ESPN
39 6-Jan Lending Tree Central Michigan UL-Lafayette 7:30 ESPN
Championship Game Semi # 1 Winner Semi # 2 Winner 8:00 ESPN

 

Bowl Bubble Watch- Final Edition

The most comprehensive analysis of the college football bowl bubble is back!  For the eleventh-straight season, I will be publishing weekly late season columns analyzing which teams will get bowl bids and which will not.  Below, I have written a report for every team that has yet to be declared either bowl eligible or ineligible. Each week this list will be updated and new odds will be provided for each team.  Please note that these odds only represent the chances that a particular team will get enough wins to be eligible to receive a bowl bid. They do not represent the odds a team has for actually receiving a bid.  This discrepancy likely won’t affect the bowl chances for most teams, but as we saw three years ago with Mississippi State and North Texas, sometimes a squad can fall short of bowl eligibility and still garner a bowl bid at 5-7 based on APR, if all spots are not filled.  All of the teams below are ordered in descending order of likelihood that they will become bowl eligible. This list is updated through all games played on November 23rd.  Now, that all the games have been played we officially know who is bowl eligible and who is not.  There are 79 NCAA FBS bowl eligible teams this year with 78 bowl spots, so that means one team that is bowl eligible this season will not get a bid.  You will see in my bowl projection post which will be posted in just a few minutes that I am predicting Eastern Michigan to be that team that doesn’t get an invite.  See full list of teams below.

Good Side of the Bowl Bubble: Teams closing in on bowl bids (0):

——————————————————————————————

Bad Side of the Bowl Bubble: Teams who will likely be home for the holidays (0):

 

Already Bowl Eligible (79):  (1) Clemson, (2) Pittsburgh, (3) Virginia, (4) Wake Forest, (5) Cincinnati, (6) Memphis, (7) Navy, (8) SMU, (9) Tulane, (10) UCF, (11) Baylor, (12) Kansas State, (13) Oklahoma, (14) Oklahoma State, (15) Indiana, (16) Iowa, (17) Michigan, (18) Minnesota, (19) Ohio State, (20) Penn State, (21) Wisconsin, (22) Florida Atlantic, (23) Louisiana Tech, (24) Marshall, (25) UAB, (26) Central Michigan, (27) Air Force, (28) Boise State, (29) San Diego State, (30) Wyoming, (31) Oregon, (32) Utah, (33) Alabama, (34) Auburn, (35) Georgia, (36) Florida, (37) LSU, (38) Texas A & M, (39) Appalachian State, (40) Georgia State, (41) UL-Lafayette, (42) Notre Dame, (43) Toledo (previous odds: 83%), (44) Western Michigan (previous odds: 74%), (45) Temple (previous odds: 98%), (46) Washington (previous odds: 81.5%), (47) Western Kentucky (previous odds: 60%), (48) Virginia Tech (previous odds: 77%), (49) Southern Miss (previous odds: 78%), (50) Miami-FL (previous odds: 86%), (51) Texas (previous odds: 80%) (52) Southern Cal (previous odds: 65%), (53) Illinois (previous odds: 57%), (54) Nevada (previous odds: 59%), (55) Miami-OH (previous odds: 79%, 96%), (56) Florida State (previous odds: 48%, 98%), (57) BYU (previous odds: 99%, 99.5%), (58) Iowa State (previous odds: 84%, 83%), (59) Arkansas State (previous odds: 79.5%, 79.5%), (60) Hawaii (previous odds: 63%, 75%), (61) Utah State  (previous odds: 51%, 67%), (62) Georgia Southern (previous odds: 68%, 63%), (63) Louisville (previous odds: 76%, 72%), (64) Eastern Michigan (previous odds: 50.5%, 50.5%, 55%), (65) Buffalo (previous odds: 82%, 82%, 70%), (66) Kentucky (previous odds: 62%, 59%, 98%), (67) Tennessee (previous odds: 51.5%, 66%, 66%), (68) Arizona State (previous odds: 66%, 62%, 58%), (69) Charlotte (previous odds: 54.5%, 57%, 57%), (70) California (previous odds: 41%, 48%, 46%), (71) FIU (previous odds: 35%, 33%, 33%), (72) Washington State (previous odds: 67%, 51%, 64%), (73) Ohio (previous odds: 81%, 68%, 63%, 83%), (74) Mississippi State (previous odds: 56%, 56%, 54%, 56%), (75) Kent State (previous odds: 31%, 27%, 37%, 44%), (76) Liberty (previous odds: 64%, 61%, 61%, 60%), (77) Boston College (previous odds: 58% 36%, 36%, 32%), (78) Michigan State (previous odds: 91%, 81%, 72%, 79%), (79) North Carolina (previous odds: 55%, 55%, 53%, 55%)

Already Ineligible for a Bowl Game (51):  (1) UConn, (2) East Carolina, (3) Tulsa, (4) Northwestern, (5) Rutgers, (6) Old Dominion, (7) Rice, (8) UTEP, (9) Akron, (10) New Mexico, (11) UNLV, (12) Arkansas, (13) Missouri, (14) South Alabama, (15) New Mexico State, (16) UMass, (17) Vanderbilt (previous odds: 2%), (18) Maryland (previous odds: 0.5%), (19) Georgia Tech (previous odds: 1%), (20) Bowling Green (previous odds: 3%, 3%), (21) Kansas (previous odds: 4%, 4%), (22) Middle Tennessee (previous odds: 45%, 45%), (23) Houston (previous odds: 9%, 9%), (24) South Carolina (previous odds: 32%, 6%), (25) Texas State (previous odds: 1.5%, 2%), (26) Ole Miss (previous odds: 16%, 18%), (27) Northern Illinois  (previous odds: 8%, 8%, 26%), (28) NC State (previous odds: 47%, 46%, 39%), (29) Colorado State (previous odds: 7%, 7%, 6%), (30) West Virginia (previous odds: 36%, 23%, 31%), (31) Ball State (previous odds: 37%, 35%, 34.5%), (32) North Texas (previous odds: 52%, 51.5%, 51.5%), (33) Duke (previous odds: 53%, 52%, 42%), (34) Coastal Carolina (previous odds: 42%, 38%, 35%), (35) Syracuse (previous odds: 20%, 20%, 33.5%), (36) San Jose State (previous odds: 33%, 30%, 30%), (37) Texas Tech (previous odds: 40%, 42%, 25%), (38) Stanford (previous odds: 52.5%, 43%, 20%), (39) Arizona (previous odds: 21%, 21%, 19%), (40) UTSA (previous odds: 5%, 19%, 18%), (41) Purdue  (previous odds: 6%, 16%, 16%), (42) South Florida (previous odds: 30%, 16%, 11%), (43) Fresno State (previous odds: 70%, 60%, 56%), (44) UCLA (previous odds: 35.5%, 35.5%, 32%), (45) Nebraska (previous odds: 39%, 39%, 38%, 40%), (46) TCU (previous odds: 54%, 52%, 69%, 66%), (47) Troy (previous odds: 18%, 24%, 28%, 21%), (48) Oregon State (previous odds: 34%, 22%, 35.5%, 16%), (49) Colorado (previous odds: 10%, 15%, 15%, 18%), (50) UL-Monroe (previous odds: 29%, 47%, 34%, 37%), (51) Army (previous odds: 43%, 44%, 45%, 45%)

Current Stats:

Already Bowl Eligible: 79

Predicted to be Bowl Eligible: 0 (79)

Already Ineligible for a Bowl Game: 51

Predicted not to become Bowl Eligible: 0 (51)