March Madness Preview Prediction

The first ever “early reveal” of the NCAA Tournament Bracket comes out at 12:30 today.  Here is my prediction of what it will show:

East West Midwest South
(New York, NY) (San Jose, CA) (Kansas City, MO) (Memphis, TN)
1 Villanova Gonzaga Kansas Baylor
2 Louisville Arizona North Carolina Florida State
3 Virginia Duke UCLA Kentucky
4 Oregon Creighton Florida Butler
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Brad-ketology: February 11th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Friday February 10th.  Interested to see how I do in comparison to the first-ever early reveal of the top 4 seeds of the NCAA Tournament later today.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Villanova, Gonzaga, Kansas, Baylor

2-seeds: Florida State, North Carolina, Louisville, Arizona

3-seeds: Duke, Virginia, UCLA, Kentucky

4-seeds: Butler, Florida, Oregon, Creighton

5-seeds: West Virginia, Wisconsin, Cincinnati, Purdue

6-seeds: Xavier, St. Mary’s, Notre Dame, SMU

7-seeds: Maryland, Southern California, South Carolina, Minnesota

8-seeds: VCU, Dayton, TCU, Northwestern

9-seeds: Kansas State, Iowa State, Oklahoma State, Virginia Tech

10-seeds: Marquette, Tennessee, Clemson, Seton Hall

11-seeds: Miami-FL, Middle Tennessee, Michigan State, Syracuse, Indiana, California

12-seeds: Illinois State,  Nevada, UNC Wilmington, Valpo

13-seeds: Monmouth, Akron, New Mexico State, Vermont

14-seeds: Belmont, Arkansas State, Princeton, Bucknell

15-seeds: UNC-Asheville, Florida Gulf Coast, North Dakota State, Texas Southern

16-seeds: Furman, Sam Houston, Weber State, UC Davis, Mount St. Mary’s, North Carolina Central

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Arkansas, Michigan, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech

2-seeds: Pittsburgh, Illinois, Houston, Rhode Island

3-seeds: Texas Tech, Georgetown, Auburn, Georgia

4-seeds: Alabama, Illinois State, Wichita State, Nevada

5-seeds: Providence, UNC Wilmington, Ole Miss, Valpo

6-seeds: Monmouth, NC State, Ohio State, Boise State

7-seeds: Memphis, Penn State, Texas A & M, Utah

8-seeds: Akron, Stanford, New Mexico State, Vermont

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: La Salle, Temple, Charleston, Iowa, UCF

Brad-ketology: February 6th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Sunday February 5th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Villanova, Gonzaga, Kansas, Louisville

2-seeds: Baylor, North Carolina, Florida State, Arizona

3-seeds: Butler, UCLA, Kentucky, Virginia

4-seeds: Florida, Duke, West Virginia, Oregon

5-seeds: Creighton, Wisconsin, Cincinnati, Purdue

6-seeds: South Carolina, Maryland, Xavier, St. Mary’s

7-seeds: Notre Dame, SMU, Southern California, Minnesota

8-seeds: VCU, Virginia Tech, Dayton, Northwestern

9-seeds: Oklahoma State, Michigan State, Kansas State, Iowa State

10-seeds: Marquette, Clemson, TCU, Tennessee

11-seeds: Seton Hall, Indiana, Arkansas, Middle Tennessee, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech

12-seeds: Illinois State,  Nevada, UNC Wilmington, Valpo

13-seeds: Monmouth, New Mexico State, Akron, Vermont

14-seeds: Belmont, Arkansas State, East Tennessee State, Winthrop

15-seeds: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Princeton, North Dakota State

16-seeds: Texas Southern, Sam Houston, Weber State, UC Davis, Mount St. Mary’s, North Carolina Central

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: California, Miami-FL, Michigan, Texas Tech

2-seeds: Rhode Island, Pittsburgh, Georgetown, Houston

3-seeds: Providence, Georgia, Syracuse, Illinois,

4-seeds: Illinois State, Wichita State, NC State, Nevada

5-seeds: UNC Wilmington, Alabama, Valpo, Auburn

6-seeds: Monmouth, Ole Miss, Ohio State, Boise State

7-seeds: Memphis, Texas A & M, Stanford, Utah

8-seeds: New Mexico State, Penn State, Akron, Temple

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Vermont, Charleston, UCF, New Mexico, La Salle

Brad-ketology: February 3rd Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Thursday February 2nd.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Kansas, Villanova, Baylor, Gonzaga

2-seeds: Louisville, Arizona, Kentucky, North Carolina

3-seeds: Florida State, Creighton, Virginia, West Virginia

4-seeds: Butler, UCLA, Duke, Florida

5-seeds: Wisconsin, Cincinnati, Oregon, Maryland

6-seeds: Notre Dame, South Carolina, Saint Mary’s, Xavier

7-seeds: Purdue, SMU, Southern California, Minnesota

8-seeds: VCU, Virginia Tech, Dayton, Northwestern

9-seeds: Middle Tennessee, Michigan State, Marquette, Clemson

10-seeds: Tennessee, Indiana, TCU, Oklahoma State

11-seeds: Arkansas,  Seton Hall, Iowa State, Georgia Tech, Kansas State, Michigan

12-seeds: Illinois State,  Valpo, Akron, Nevada

13-seeds: UNC-Wilmington, Monmouth, New Mexico State, Vermont

14-seeds: Belmont, Arkansas State, East Tennessee State, Winthrop

15-seeds: Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast, Princeton, North Dakota State

16-seeds: Texas Southern, Sam Houston, UC Irvine, Weber State Mount St. Mary’s, North Carolina Central

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Pittsburgh, California, Georgetown, Wake Forest

2-seeds: Miami-FL, Rhode Island, Texas Tech, Georgia 

3-seeds: NC State, Houston, Illinois State, Illinois

4-seeds: Providence, Valpo, Akron, Wichita State

5-seeds: Nevada, UNC Wilmington, Monmouth, Memphis

6-seeds: Ole Miss, Alabama, Auburn, Utah

7-seeds: Penn State, Boise State, Ohio State, Stanford

8-seeds: New Mexico State, La Salle, Texas A & M, New Mexico

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Temple, Syracuse, Vermont, Charleston