These are in order from least shocking to most shocking according to the current lines at the Caesars Sportsbook.

New England (+3.0) vs. Miami- (Sun) 8:20– The Pats have struggled mightily in South Florida over the years, but conversely, they have played fairly well against the Dolphins in Foxboro. Also, Miami is due for a letdown game after their incredible upset on the road against the Chargers in week 1.

Arizona State (+3.0) vs. Fresno State- 10:30– Fresno looked good in week 1 at Purdue but then they were dreadful in an overtime home win over Eastern Washington last Saturday. Meanwhile, the Sun Devils will come in to this one extremely motivated after their disappointing loss last Saturday to Oklahoma State.

Missouri (+4.0) vs. Kansas State- 12:00– This line has dropped by a full 2 points throughout the week, so clearly other people are viewing this as a great spot for Mizzou as well. It is really tough to beat any SEC opponent on the road (minus Vandy).

Seattle (+4.5) at Detroit- (Sun) 1:00– In my NFL preview guide, I was high on the Seahawks this season (picked to be surprise winners of the NFC West) and low on the Lions (picked to finish tied for last in the NFL North). That assertion couldn’t have been more wrong in week 1, but I am going to stick to my guns here and call for a Seahawk bounce back coupled with a Lions letdown.

Florida (+6.0) vs. Tennessee- 7:00– Gainesville has been a house of horrors for the Vols, as they have not won in the Swamp in 20 years. I also don’t think Tennessee is as good as they were last season, and I think the Gators actually played better in week 1 against Utah than people realize (they outgained the Utes by a considerable margin).

South Alabama (+7.0) at Oklahoma State- 7:00- Everything about this game just screams upset. You have a South Alabama team that has been one of the best teams in the Sun Belt over the last couple seasons and almost knocked off an elite UCLA team on the road last year. They’re matched up against an Oklahoma State team that is weaker than usual and has been prone to early season upset losses/scares over the years (see narrow in over Tulsa in 2020 and loss to Central Michigan in 2016).

Charlotte (+7.5) vs. Georgia State- 6:00– The 49ers were surprisingly competitive in a road loss to Maryland last week, and Georgia State struggled mightily against Rhode Island in week 1. In this likely battle of teams who will finish at or near the bottom of their respective conferences, pick the team who is playing at home and also plays in the tougher conference.

Houston (+7.5) vs. TCU- 8:00– I expect a strong bounce back performance from the Cougars after their heartbreaking loss to Rice last week. Meanwhile, TCU looks very beatable this season, especially when considering that they will have a target on their back following their Cinderella run to the national title game in 2022.

Old Dominion (+14.0) vs. Wake Forest- 12:00– This seems like a sneaky trap game for Wake, as its a non-conference road game sandwiched between matchups against two power 5 opponents (vs. Vandy and Georgia Tech). Also, ODU has slayed ACC foes in past years (Virginia Tech in 2018 and 2022) and have proven to be especially dangerous at home.

Last week’s Upset Pick of the Week: Tampa Bay (+5.5) over Minnesota (I picked this upset in both my preseason NFL preview guide and in my week 2 upset article!)