These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident. Lines are based on the current spreads at the Caesars Sportsbook.

BYU (+8.0) at Kansas- 3:30– I don’t understand this line at all. BYU just won at Arkansas last week, and now they are over a touchdown underdog in Lawrence? I get that Kansas is much improved over the past two seasons, but they aren’t the ’85 Bears.

Wyoming (-3.0) vs. App. State- 7:00– Laramie is always a tough place to play, especially when you are traveling cross country to get there. This just seems like a bad spot for App, who just played in back-to-back emotional in-state rivalry games and now has to make this trip out west right before conference play begins.

Air Force (-4.5) at San Jose State- (Fri) 10:30– The Falcons of Air Force have been blowing out everyone in their path, so I don’t think they will have any trouble winning comfortably against a 1-3 Spartan squad.

UConn (+21.5) vs. Duke- 3:30– This is the ultimate trap game for Duke. They’re coming off a blowout win over Northwestern, and next week they’ll be hosting Notre Dame in what might be the biggest game in school history. Trapped between those two games is a lengthy trip up north to play a UConn team that is better than their 0-3 record indicates. The Devils will win this one, but in the words of Lee Corso “it is going to be much closer than the experts think”.

Coastal Carolina (-6.5) vs. Georgia State- (Th) 7:30– I will be attending this game on Thursday night, and I expect the Chants to expose Georgia State as the worst of the currently unbeaten FBS teams.

Southern Miss (-7.0) at Arkansas State- 7:00– The Golden Eagles have certainly not looked great to start the 2023 season, but the Red Wolves are one of the worst teams in the country and I think that will become increasingly evident on Saturday night.

Arizona State (+34.5) vs. Southern Cal– 10:30- Yes, the Sun Devils are really, really bad, but this is just too high of a spread for a road conference game. A 42-10 loss by the Devils would still cover this number.

FIU (+10.0) vs. Liberty- 6:30– The Panthers have been surprisingly decent this season, and Liberty has yet to prove they are anywhere near as good as they were in year’s past.

Indiana (-17.0) vs. Akron- 7:30– The Hoosiers have shown some fight in losses to Louisville and Ohio State, and I think they will take advantage of this opportunity for an easy home victory before conference play begins.

Baylor (+15.0) vs. Texas- 7:30– Waco has been a house or horrors over the years for favorites that have national title aspirations. I think the Longhorns probably win this one, but I believe it will be a close game.