The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop. You may also notice that some teams are listed in both the NCAA and NIT fields. These are teams predicted to be automatic qualifiers to the NCAA tournament that would also earn at-large bids to the NIT tournament but not the NCAA tourney. There are a couple of reasons these teams are displayed like this. First and foremost, it shows how close those teams are to getting at-large bids in the NCAA tournament field. Secondly, it shows where those squads would be seeded if in fact they lost in their conference tournament and garnered an at-large bid to the NIT.

Moreover, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to the best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.  Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Thursday February 15th. Brad-ketology columns will typically be published twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays) and likely more often than that when it gets closer to tourney time.  Please feel free to comment or debate.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Purdue, UConn, Houston, Arizona

2-seeds: Marquette, North Carolina, Kansas, Tennessee

3-seeds: Iowa State, Duke, Alabama, Baylor

4-seeds: Auburn, Illinois, Creighton, Wisconsin

5-seeds: Dayton, Brigham Young, San Diego State, Texas Tech

6-seeds: Clemson, South Carolina, Florida Atlantic, Kentucky

7-seeds: Saint Mary’s, Utah State, Oklahoma, Colorado State

8-seeds: Michigan State, Washington State, Florida, Texas

9-seeds: Texas A & M, New Mexico, Virginia, Mississippi State

10-seeds: Boise State, Northwestern, TCU, Nebraska

11-seeds: Gonzaga, Butler, Nevada, Utah, Cincinnati, Colorado

12-seeds: Indiana State, Grand Canyon, James Madison, Princeton,

13-seeds: McNeese State, UC Irvine, Samford, Louisiana Tech

14-seeds: Akron, UNC Wilmington, Vermont, Eastern Washington

15-seeds: Morehead State, High Point, Oakland, Colgate

16-seeds: Quinnipiac, Southern, Norfolk State, Merrimack, Eastern Kentucky, North Dakota 

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Ole Miss, Providence, St. John’s, Seton Hall

2-seeds: Oregon, Wake Forest, Indiana State, Kansas State

3-seeds: Drake, Villanova, Pittsburgh, Grand Canyon

4-seeds: Xavier, James Madison, Memphis, Miami-FL

5-8 seeds: Princeton, SMU, Virginia Tech, Richmond, Appalachian State, Washington, McNeese State, Syracuse, UCF, VCU, Iowa, NC State, Maryland, Bradley, Rutgers, Florida State

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Georgia, San Francisco, UC Irvine, Minnesota, Samford, Indiana, St. Bonaventure, Ohio State, Boston College, Louisiana Tech, LSU, Stanford