Kentucky Derby Preview 2024

I don’t believe I have ever posted a Kentucky Derby Preview article before, but as a diehard sports fan that grew up in Kentucky, this race means a lot to me. In fact, I would go as far as say that it is my favorite single day sporting event in the world (the Super Bowl is a close second). So for what it’s worth, I thought I would share my predicted Kentucky Derby order of finish for this year’s race.

1Track Phantom20-1My sentimenal favorite and I am due a derby win
2Fierceness5-2Best horse in field is due a bad day but still good enough for second
3Just A Touch10-1Good pedigree, good trainer/jockey, good speed figure
4Catching Freedom8-1solid horse that is consistenly improving but don’t like closers in Derby
5Resilience20-1Wood Memorial winner with 2nd best speed figure in race is undervalued
6Sierra Leone3-1great horse but it is really hard for a closer to win Derby b/c of amount of traffic to navigate
7Just Steel20-1experienced horse that has hall of fame dad and hall of fame trainer; a lot to like here
8Honor Marie20-1this year’s wise-guy sleeper pick in well earned but those horses rarely win
9Dornoch20-1only horse to beat Sierra Leone will run well but his best racing days are behind him
10Mystik Dan20-1If it is a rainy track, then this horse may be the one to beat
11Society Man50-1Has 3rd best speed figure in race and is somehow the biggest longshot; great value bet
12Stronghold20-1Santa Anita Dery winner dominated weak field on west coast
13Forever Young (JPN)10-1The KY Derby’s greatest paradigm: Overhyped foreign horses always disappoint.
14Domestic Product30-1I like the trainer and jockey but not much else here, as he enters race on lengthy layoff
15West Saratoga50-1This year’s feel-good story in the race. Unfortuantely, those horses rarely win.
16Endlessly30-1It is a bad sign when the horse’s own trainer preferred to run him in a turf race on the Derby undercard
17Epic Ride50-1He was an alternate entrant into the field for a reason but horse has enough promise to make Rich Strike comparisons.
18Catalytic30-1Never finished worse than 2nd but speed figure indicates he isn’t going to keep that streak going
19Grand Mo The First50-1All you need to know about this horse is that he is only Derby entrant in field whose top speed figure is under 90.
20T O Password (JPN)30-1A foreign horse with only two prior starts. Kinda makes the Japanese auto bid into the Derby seem like a joke.

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