Now that I have thoroughly analyzed the upcoming college football season, it is time for me to publish my fifth annual NFL preseason football guide. Much like my college preview, I have gone through and analyzed every NFL team’s regular season and postseason, as well as selected my disappointment and surprise teams and upsets to watch out for.

Without further ado, here are the teams I am predicting to surprise this season. These teams are ordered in the relative disparity between my picks and the experts average while also taking into account the significance of each pick. Keep in mind that in 2022 my # 1 surprise team on this list was the Philadelphia Eagles, who ended up playing in the Super Bowl that season, so I have done some good work with these in the past.

	Surprise Teams	My Predictions:	Experts Predictions:
1	New Orleans	1st in NFC South (+2); Projected Record: 10-7 (+2); 12th in Power Rankings (+13)	3rd in NFC South; Projected Record: 8-9; 25th in Power Rankings
2	Cleveland	1st in AFC North (+3); Projected Record: 11-6 (+2); 6th in Power Rankings (+6)	4th in AFC North; Projected Record: 9-8; 12th in Power Rankings
3	Dallas	1st in NFC East (+1); Projected Record: 12-5 (+5); 4th in Power Rankings (+6)	2nd in NFC East; Projected Record: 7-10; 10th in Power Rankings
4	Miami	1st in AFC East (0); Projected Record: 12-5 (+3); 2nd in Power Rankings (+9)	1st in AFC East; Projected Record: 9-8; 11th in Power Rankings
5	Seattle	2nd in AFC West (+1); Projected Record: 10-7 (+4); 14th in Power Rankings (+10)	3rd in AFC West; Projected Record: 6-11; 24th in Power Rankings