Brad-ketology: March 4th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Thursday March 3rd.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Kansas, Villanova, Oklahoma, Virginia

2-seeds:   Oregon, Michigan State, North Carolina, Xavier

3-seeds: Miami-FL, Utah, West Virginia, Maryland

4-seeds: Texas A & M, Kentucky, Duke, Iowa State

5-seeds: Purdue, Texas, California, Baylor

6-seeds: Indiana, Iowa, Colorado, Texas Tech

7-seeds: Arizona, Dayton, Wisconsin, Notre Dame 

8-seeds: Southern California, Seton Hall, Oregon State, Providence

9-seeds: St. Joe’s, Tulsa, Pittsburgh, Wichita State

10-seeds: South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Syracuse, St. Bonaventure

11-seeds: Monmouth, Butler, Florida, UConn, Michigan, Temple

12-seeds: St. Mary’s, Valpo, Princeton, Arkansas-Little Rock

13-seeds: San Diego State, Akron, Chattanooga, South Dakota State

14-seeds: Stony Brook, Hofstra, UAB, Hawaii

15-seeds: Belmont, Stephen F. Austin, New Mexico State, Weber State

16-seeds: High Point, Lehigh, Wagner, Hampton, Texas Southern, Florida Gulf Coast

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Cincinnati, VCU, George Washington, Alabama

2-seeds: , Florida State, St. Mary’s, Gonzaga, Valpo

3-seeds: Princeton, Arkansas-Little Rock, San Diego State, LSU

4-seeds: Ohio State, Houston, Akron, Stanford

5-seeds: Chattanooga, Washington, South Dakota State, Yale

6-seeds: UCLA, Kansas State, Georgia Tech, Georgia

7-seeds: Stony Brook, Davidson, Brigham Young, Creighton

8-seeds: HofstraUAB, North Florida, Bucknell

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: UNC-Wilmington, Hawaii, UC-Irvine, Boise State, Ole Miss, IPFW, Virginia Tech, Northern Iowa, William & Mary, Evansville, Fresno State, Marquette, Penn State



    • There are 12 conference champs listed in both NCAA and NIT. Their NIT positioning just shows where they would be seeded if they lose in their conference tournament.


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