Every summer since 2007 I have created an intricate set of college football predictions for each upcoming season. This year is no exception, as I will be using my blog over the next few hours to publish my 15th annual college football preview guide which will contain 19 entries in all. Without further ado, here are the teams I am predicting to disappoint this season. For some reason, I am one of the few analysts in the country to publish such a list as Phil Steele and others publish their “surprise teams” but not their disappointment teams. The only reason I can see for omitting this list is to keep everyone happy by being politically correct as possible. However, it is only logical that if some teams are predicted to surprise each season by outperforming expectations that other teams must be predicted to disappoint by failing to meet expectations. These teams are ordered in the relative disparity between my picks and the experts average while also taking into account the significance of each pick.
|Disappointment teams||My Predictions:||Experts Predictions:|
|1||Notre Dame||53rd in nation (-41)||12th in nation|
|2||North Carolina||21st in nation (-12); 3rd in ACC Coastal (-2)||9th in nation; 1st in ACC Coastal|
|3||Florida||22nd in nation (-12); 3rd in SEC East (-1)||10th in nation; 2nd in SEC East|
|4||Iowa State||20th in nation (-13); 3rd in Big 12 (-1)||7th in nation; 2nd in Big 12|
|5||Boston College||63rd in nation (-16); 6th in ACC Atlantic (-4)||47th in nation; 2nd in ACC Atlantic|
|6||Kansas State||104th in nation (-46); T-8th in Big 12 (-1)||58th in nation; T-7th in Big 12|
|7||Maryland||94th in nation (-30); 7th in Big Ten East (-1)||64th in nation; 6th in Big Ten East|
|8||Kentucky||57th in nation (-19); 4th in SEC East (-1)||38th in nation; 3rd in SEC East|
|9||UCF||64th in nation (-35); 3rd in AAC (-1)||29th in nation; 2nd in AAC|
|10||Hawaii||119th in nation (-23); 6th in MWC West (-2)||96th in nation; 4th in MWC West|
As you can see, my # 1 disappointment team this season are the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. I think most people expect them to take a step back this season but I am predicting a more substantial regression than most as I am calling for the Irish to barely scratch out a bowl bid with a 6-6 record. Their personnel losses were massive, their schedule is brutal, and I think the transition from Clark Lea’s defense to Marcus Freeman’s will not go as smoothly as people are thinking.