Every summer since 2007 I have created an intricate set of college football predictions for each upcoming season. This year is no exception, as I will be using my blog over the next few hours to publish my 15th annual college football preview guide which will contain 19 entries in all. Over the past six seasons, I have made my college football offseason more expansive by predicting the outcome of every single game that is played by every FBS team over the course of the upcoming season. I obviously sprinkle a few upsets in there when favored teams matchup poorly with inferior opponents or play them at inopportune times. Last season, eight of my predicted upsets hit despite the scheduling changes that prevented several of these games from even taking place. Those correct picks included: Indiana’s stunning victory over Penn State, East Carolina’s home upset of SMU as a double-digit underdog, Coastal Carolina’s surprise victory over Arkansas State which catapulted their Cinderella 2021 conference title run, and most importantly Iowa State’s improbable win over Oklahoma that knocked them out of the national championship race. This year’s upset picks are listed below in chronological order, and the ten upset picks that will be the most impactful to the college football playoff picture are marked in bold. Also, the (H), (A), and (N) monikers written on each line represents whether or not the the team pulling off the upset is playing the game at home, away from home, or at a neutral site. Feel free to comment or debate on this post as well as any others included in this preview guide.
Preseason Upset Picks of the Year | |
1 | East Carolina over Appalachian State (N)- September 2 |
2 | Houston Baptist over New Mexico (A)- September 2 |
3 | South Dakota State over Colorado State (A)- September 3 |
4 | UL-Lafayette over Texas (A)- September 4 |
5 | Holy Cross over UConn (A)- September 4 |
6 | UMass over Eastern Michigan (H)- September 18 |
7 | Mississippi State over LSU (H)- September 25 |
8 | Western Kentucky over Indiana (H)- September 25 |
9 | Georgia Southern over UL-Lafayette (H)- September 25 |
10 | Cincinnati over Notre Dame (A)- October 2 |
11 | Arkansas over Auburn (H)- October 16 |
12 | Kansas over Texas Tech (H)- October 16 |
13 | West Virginia over Iowa State (H)- October 30 |
14 | Michigan State over Michigan (H)- October 30 |
15 | New Mexico State over Utah State (H)- November 6 |
16 | Liberty over Ole Miss (A)- November 6 |
17 | Nebraska over Ohio State (H)- November 6 |
18 | Pittsburgh over North Carolina (H)- November 11 |
19 | Oregon State over Stanford (H)- November 13 |
20 | Vanderbilt over Kentucky (H)- November 13 |
21 | Missouri over Florida (H)- November 20 |
22 | Virginia Tech over Miami-FL (A)- November 20 |
23 | Colorado over Washington (H)- November 20 |
24 | NC State over North Carolina (H)- November 26 |
25 | San Diego State over Boise State (H)- November 26 |
My predicted upset of the year is going to happen on November 6th when Ohio State travels to Nebraska in a classic trap game. The two weeks prior to this OSU is going to have all the attention on them as they play Indiana and Penn State in consecutive marquee matchups. Assuming the Bucks win both of those, they will likely be 8-0 heading to Lincoln and in prime position for a letdown spot against a Scott Frost team that will be desperate for a program-defining win. Keep in mind, the last time the Huskers played OSU without Justin Fields in 2018 they almost sprung the upset as an 18 point road underdog.