College Football Playoff Prediction- Week 14 Edition

Even January-March, I use my sports blog to post my constantly updating NCAA men’s basketball tournament bracket projection. That projection is then incorporated into the nationally renowned Bracket Project. No such project exists, to my knowledge, for the College Football Playoff yet, but ever since the 12 team bracket began last fall, I have felt like its necessary to post my own projections of what the bracket will ultimately look like when the final bracket is revealed on December 6th.

Just to be clear, this is quite different than the “projected bracket” that the CFP publishes through ESPN every Tuesday night. That bracket is based on each team’s CFP rankings at the present time. Here, I am actually projecting out the rest of the season and publishing what I think the bracket will look like after all conference championship games are completed on Saturday December 6th.

First, you will see each team in my projected field listed in order of what seed I believe they will get. Below that list, you will see my projected schedule, where I place each playoff game into a projected time slot/location based on these rankings. Italicized teams are ones I am projecting to win their conference title game and thus receive automatic bids go the playoff. There is also an additional column to the right of each team where I state what I believe each team needs to do down the stretch of the season to clinch a bid in this year’s College Football Playoff. This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Saturday November 29th.

Predicted Playoff Field
1Ohio Statehas already clinched bid to the CFP
2Georgiahas already clinched bid to the CFP
3Indianahas already clinched bid to the CFP
4Texas Techhas already clinched bid to the CFP
5Oregonhas already clinched bid to the CFP
6Ole Misshas already clinched bid to the CFP
7Texas A & Mhas already clinched bid to the CFP
8Oklahomahas already clinched bid to the CFP
9Notre Damehas already clinched bid to the CFP
10Alabamahas already clinched bid to the CFP
11VirginiaNeeds to win ACC title game to clinch bid
12TulaneNeeds to win AAC title game to clinch bid
Other Contenders:
BYUNeeds to win Big 12 title game to clinch bid
Miami-FLNot likely to be selected
TexasNot likely to be selected
VanderbiltNot likely to be selected
UtahNot likely to be selected

Projected Game Schedule:

First Round:

(5) Oregon vs. (12) Tulane- Friday December 19th, 8:00 PM (ABC/ESPN)

(6) Ole Miss vs. (11) Virginia- Saturday December 20th, 12:00 (ABC/ESPN)

(7) Texas A & M vs. (10) Alabama- Saturday December 20th, 4:00 (TNT)

(8) Oklahoma vs. (9) Notre Dame- Saturday December 20th, 8:00 (TNT)

Quarterfinals:

Cotton Bowl: (4) Texas Tech vs. (5) Oregon/(12) Tulane winner- Wednesday December 31st, 7:30 (ESPN)

Orange Bowl: (3) Indiana vs. (6) Ole Miss/(11) Virginia winner- Thursday January 1st, 12:00 (ESPN)

Rose Bowl: (1) Ohio State vs. (8) Oklahoma/(9) Notre Dame winner- Thursday January 1st, 4:00 (ESPN)

Sugar Bowl: (2) Georgia vs. (7) Texas A & M/(10) Alabama winner – Thursday January 1st, 8:00 (ESPN)

Semifinals:

Fiesta Bowl: Cotton Bowl winner vs. Rose Bowl winner- Thursday January 8th, 7:30 (ESPN)

Peach Bowl: Orange Bowl winner vs. Sugar Bowl winner- Friday January 9th, 7:30 (ESPN)

Championship Game:

Fiesta Bowl winner vs. Peach Bowl winner- Monday January 19th, 7:30 (ESPN)

2 comments

  1. Your rankings are probably right on, but your right-side column is illogical. Ten teams listed as “already clinched” and then three with “must win” their conference title game to get in.

    What if Tulane, UVA and BYU all win their conference title games? 13 can’t get in. One of the 10 you have listed as “already clinched” would have to make way. Notre Dame, Alabama, OU and even UVA after beating Duke would all have to feel not-fully-secure if BYU happens to beat Texas Tech.

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