Brad-ketology: February 12th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.  You will notice that some of these squads are also listed in the NIT bracket.  The reason for this is two-fold.  First and foremost, it shows how close those teams are to getting at-large bids in the NCAA tournament field.  Secondly, it shows where those squads would be seeded if in fact they lost in their conference tournament and garnered an automatic bid to the NIT.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Sunday February 11th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Clemson

2-seeds: Auburn, Purdue, Kansas, North Carolina

3-seeds: Duke, Michigan State, Texas Tech, Tennessee

4-seeds: Ohio State, Rhode Island, Cincinnati, West Virginia

5-seeds: Oklahoma, Arizona, Seton Hall, Texas A & M

6-seeds: Kentucky, Miami-FL, Creighton, TCU

7-seeds: Nevada, Butler, Michigan, Arizona State

8-seeds: Missouri, Arkansas, Wichita State, Alabama

9-seeds: Providence, St. Mary’s, Gonzaga, Texas

10-seeds: Florida, Washington, Louisville, Houston

11-seeds: Florida State, Syracuse, Temple, Mississippi State, UCLA, Southern California

12-seeds: Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-IL

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Belmont

14-seeds: Rider, UL-Lafayette, College of Charleston, UC Santa Barbara

15-seeds: Montana, Bucknell, Northern Kentucky, UNC-Asheville

16-seeds: Wagner, Florida Gulf Coast, Penn, Nicholls State, Savannah State, Grambling

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: NC State, St. Bonaventure, Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State

2-seeds: Marquette, Kansas State, Virginia Tech, Baylor

3-seeds: Utah, Georgia, Nebraska, Western Kentucky

4-seeds: Boise State, Colorado, SMU, Maryland

5-seeds: LSU, Notre Dame, Boston College, Buffalo

6-seeds: Loyola-IL, South Dakota State, Oregon, Vermont

7-seeds: East Tennessee State, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, UCF

8-seeds: South Carolina Penn State, Northwestern, Belmont

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Rider, UL-Lafayette, College of Charleston, Wyoming, Brigham Young, Tulsa, UC Santa Barbara, Stanford

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Brad-ketology: February 9th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.  You will notice that some of these squads are also listed in the NIT bracket.  The reason for this is two-fold.  First and foremost, it shows how close those teams are to getting at-large bids in the NCAA tournament field.  Secondly, it shows where those squads would be seeded if in fact they lost in their conference tournament and garnered an automatic bid to the NIT.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Thursday February 8th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Purdue

2-seeds: Clemson, Auburn, Kansas, North Carolina

3-seeds: Tennessee, Duke, Texas Tech, Ohio State

4-seeds: Michigan State, Rhode Island, West Virginia, Oklahoma

5-seeds: Cincinnati, Seton Hall, Kentucky, Arizona 

6-seeds: Miami-FL, Creighton, Texas A & M, Butler

7-seeds: TCU, Nevada, Michigan, Arizona State

8-seeds: Washington, Missouri, Providence, Arkansas

9-seeds: St. Mary’s, Wichita State, Gonzaga, Texas

10-seeds: Alabama, Florida, Florida State, Louisville

11-seeds: Houston, Syracuse, Temple, NC State, Mississippi State, Southern California

12-seeds: Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-IL

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Wright State

14-seeds: Belmont, Rider, UL-Lafayette, College of Charleston

15-seeds: UC Santa Barbara, Montana, Bucknell, Wagner

16-seeds: UNC-Asheville, Penn, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A & T, Nicholls State, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: UCLA, Marquette, Georgia, Kansas State

2-seeds: St. Bonaventure, Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Utah

3-seeds: Boise State, SMU, Nebraska, Buffalo

4-seeds: Western Kentucky, Colorado, Virginia Tech, Maryland

5-seeds: Loyola-IL, South Dakota State, South Carolina, Oregon

6-seeds: Vermont, East Tennessee State, LSU, Notre Dame

7-seeds: UCF, Baylor, Boston College, Wright State

8-seeds: Northwestern, Penn State, Stanford, Oklahoma State

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Wyoming, Belmont, Rider, UL-Lafayette, College of Charleston, Brigham Young, Iowa State, Tulsa

Potential March Madness Cinderella Stories 2018- Early Edition

Each season, I chronicle the potential March Madness Cinderella Stories by writing two articles that detail teams across that could become a feel-good story come March.   The first article is written around the midpoint of the season (late January/early February) and the second is published  just as the conference tournaments begin.  Here is the first of those two annual editions.

While almost all mid-major NCAA teams have the chance to play Cinderella come Christmas Day (aka the first round of the NCAA tourney), it is particularly special when these teams have an inspiring sentimental storyline.  Often times this involves a squad making its first trip to the Big Dance (see Northern Colorado in 2011).  Other times there is a likable coach who warms the hearts of the nation (see Pete Carril in 1994, Andy Enfeld in 2012).  Inevitably, when the second week of March comes around, these stories will come to fruition.  In the meantime, it’s worth looking at the standings and checking out which mid-major conference leaders/contenders and other probably NCAA Tournament teams could inspire us during the first few weeks of March.  Only teams currently in first or second place of their respective conferences or squads currently in the hunt for an at-large bid will be included in this column.  They are listed in alphabetical order by conference.

Hartford (America East)- The Hawks have never been to the Big Dance before but currently sit tied for 2nd in their conference standings.

Jacksonville (Atlantic Sun)- The Dolphins have been dancing since 1986, but they are now alone in 2nd place in the conference standings.

TCU (Big 12)- The Horned Frogs haven’t danced since 1998, but Jamie Dixon has them firmly in position for an at-large bid in just his second season.

Charleston (Colonial)– Would you believe that despite all the success Cremins and others have had at C of C the Cougars haven’t danced since the 1990’s?  They are currently the frontrunners in this year’s Colonial Standings and also get to host the conference tournament.

William & Mary (Colonial)– The Tribe are joined by St. Francis (NY), Army, and The Citadel as the only four original teams to have played NCAA Division 1 basketball when the tournament started and have still not made the Big Dance.  This could be their year as they are just a game back of the forementioned Cougars in the Colonial standings.

Rider (MAAC)– Neither of the top two teams in the current Metro Atlantic standings have danced since the mid-1990s.

Canisius (MAAC)– Neither of the top two teams in the current Metro Atlantic standings have danced since the mid-1990s.

Toledo (MAC)- Buffalo is garnering all the headlines in the MAC this season, but the Rockets of Toledo are quietly dominating the league’s other division as they seek their first tourney berth since 1980.

Savannah State (MEAC)- These Big Dance Virgins have flirted with a tourney bid before as they won the MEAC regular season championship in 2012 before being upset in the quarterfinals of the conference tourney in Winston-Salem (I was actually in attendance for that game).  These Tigers are hoping for a better postseason showing this season as they are currently tied for first in the league standings with North Carolina A & T.

Loyola-IL (MVC)– The Ramblers not only have one of the best nicknames in college sports but they also have a rich NCAA history as they actually won a national championship in 1963.  Unfortunately, the Ramblers haven’t been back to the Big Dance since 1985, but this year’s squad should break that streak as they have the deepest and most talented team in the MVC.

Colgate (Patriot)– The Raiders haven’t danced since NBA journeyman Adonal Foyle graced their roster in 1996.  This year’s squad however sits tied for second behind Bucknell in the Patriot standings.

Nicholls State (Southland)– Ever since Stephen F. Austin’s reign of terror in the Southland ended with the departure of Brad Underwood in 2016, this conference has become wide open.  Last year, New Orleans claimed its first tourney big in over 20 years, and this season Nicholls is attempting to do the same as they currently sit alone atop the conference standings.

Grambling State (SWAC)– Believe it or not, this historical football powerhouse has never made it to an NCAA basketball tournament.  That could chance in 2018 as the Tigers sit alone behind a very beatable Arkansas-Pine Bluff squad in second place of the SWAC standings.

South Dakota (Summit)– South Dakota State is definitely the class of this conference right now but these Big Dance virgin are alone in second and ready to pounce if their in-state rival stumbles in the conference tournament.  Interestingly, only three teams in the current Summit League have ever gone to the NCAA tournament (Oral Roberts, South Dakota State, and North Dakota State).

Grand Canyon (WAC)– The Antelopes have never been dancing but former NBA superstar Dan Majerle has gotten them off to a strong start in conference play this year as they currently sit alone in 2nd place in the WAC behind New Mexico State.  The issue is that I am not sure anyone in that league can beat the mighty Aggies this season.

Ranking of Greatest Super Bowls

Greatest Super Bowls in NFL History
1 Super Bowl III- NY Jets 16, Baltimore 7
2 Super Bowl LI- New England 34, Atlanta 28 (OT)
3 Super Bowl XXXII- Denver 31, Green Bay 24
4 Super Bowl XXXVI- New England 20, St. Louis 17
5 Super Bowl XXIII- San Francisco 20, Cincinnati 16
6 Super Bowl XLIX- New England 28, Seattle 24
7 Super Bowl XXXIV- St. Louis 23, Tennessee 16
8 Super Bowl LII- Philadelphia 41, New England 33
9 Super Bowl XXV- New York Giants 20, Buffalo 19
10 Super Bowl XXXVIII- New England 32, Carolina 29
11 Super Bowl V- Baltimore 16, Dallas 13
12 Super Bowl XLII- New York Giants 17, New England 14
13 Super Bowl XVI- San Francisco 26, Cincinnati 21
14 Super Bowl XXXIX- New England 24, Philadelphia 21
15 Super Bowl XLIII- Pittsburgh 27, Arizona 23
16 Super Bowl XXXI- Green Bay 35, New England 21
17 Super Bowl XXX- Dallas 27, Pittsburgh 17
18 Super Bowl XLVI- New York Giants 21, New England 17
19 Super Bowl X- Pittsburgh 21, Dallas 17
20 Super Bowl XLIV- New Orleans 31, Indianapolis 17
21 Super Bowl XIII- Pittsburgh 35, Dallas 31
22 Super Bowl XLVII- Baltimore 34, San Francisco 31
23 Super Bowl VII- Miami 14, Washington 7
24 Super Bowl XLV- Green Bay 31, Pittsburgh 25
25 Super Bowl XL- Pittsburgh 21, Seattle 10
26 Super Bowl XVII- Washington 27, Miami 17
27 Super Bowl XXVIII- Dallas 30, Buffalo 13
28 Super Bowl 50- Denver 24, Carolina 10
29 Super Bowl XIV- Pittsburgh 31, LA Rams 19
30 Super Bowl XV- Oakland 27, Philadelphia 10
31 Super Bowl IX- Pittsburgh 16, Minnesota 6
32 Super Bowl I- Green Bay 35, KC 10
33 Super Bowl XXVI- Washington 37, Buffalo 24
34 Super Bowl VI- Dallas 24, Miami 3
35 Super Bowl XVIII- LA Raiders 38, Washington 9
36 Super Bowl VIII- Miami 24, Minnesota 7
37 Super Bowl II- Green Bay 33, Oakland 14
38 Super Bowl XIX- San Francisco 38, Miami 16
39 Super Bowl XI- Oakland 32, Minnesota 14
40 Super Bowl XXXIII- Denver 34, Atlanta 19
41 Super Bowl IV- KC 23, Minnesota 7
42 Super Bowl XX- Chicago 46, New England 10
43 Super Bowl XII- Dallas 27, Denver 10
44 Super Bowl XLI- Indianapolis 29, Chicago 17
45 Super Bowl XXI- New York Giants 39, Denver 20
46 Super Bowl XXXVII- Tampa Bay 48, Oakland 21
47 Super Bowl XLVIII- Seattle 43, Denver 8
48 Super Bowl XXXV- Baltimore 34, New York Giants 7
49 Super Bowl XXII- Washington 42, Denver 10
50 Super Bowl XXVII- Dallas 52, Buffalo 17
51 Super Bowl XXIV- San Francisco 55, Denver 10
52 Super Bowl XXIX- San Francisco 49, San Diego 26

Brad-ketology: February 5th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Sunday February 4th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier

2-seeds:  Auburn, Clemson, Duke, Kansas,

3-seeds: Oklahoma, North Carolina, Tennessee, Texas Tech

4-seeds: Michigan State, Rhode Island, Seton Hall, Arizona

5-seeds: Kentucky, Butler, West Virginia, Ohio State

6-seeds: Michigan, Miami-FL, Cincinnati, Creighton,

7-seeds: Nevada, Texas, TCU, Louisville

8-seeds: Washington, Arkansas, Arizona State, Texas A & M

9-seeds: Missouri, Providence, Alabama, Florida State

10-seeds: Florida, St. Mary’s, Wichita State, Gonzaga

11-seeds: Houston, NC State, Temple, Southern California, Georgia, St. Bonaventure

12-seeds: Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-IL

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Wright State

14-seeds: UL-Lafayette, Belmont, Rider, Bucknell

15-seeds: College of Charleston, Montana, UC Davis, Wagner

16-seeds: UNC-Asheville, Penn, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A & T, Nicholls State, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Syracuse, Marquette, Mississippi State, UCLA

2-seeds: SMU, Kansas State, Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State

3-seeds: Utah, Boise State, Maryland, Nebraska

4-seeds: Buffalo, Western Kentucky, South Carolina, Colorado

5-seeds: Virginia Tech, UCF, LSU, Loyola-IL

6-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Notre Dame

7-seeds: Boston College, Oregon, Baylor, Stanford

8-seeds: Wright State, Oklahoma State, UL-Lafayette, Belmont

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Iowa State, Northwestern, Penn State, Wyoming, Rider, Bucknell, Brigham Young

Brad-ketology: February 3rd Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Friday February 2nd.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier

2-seeds: Kansas, Auburn, Duke, Clemson

3-seeds: Oklahoma, North Carolina, Tennessee, Arizona

4-seeds: Texas Tech, Michigan State, Rhode Island, Kentucky

5-seeds: Seton Hall, Butler, West Virginia, Arkansas

6-seeds: Ohio State, Michigan, Miami-FL, Creighton,

7-seeds: TCU, Cincinnati, Louisville, Nevada

8-seeds: Wichita State, Arizona State, Florida, Texas A & M

9-seeds: Texas, Washington, Providence, St. Mary’s

10-seeds: Alabama, Florida State, Missouri, Gonzaga

11-seeds: Houston, NC State, Marquette, Southern California, Syracuse, Georgia

12-seeds: Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-IL

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Wright State

14-seeds: UL-Lafayette, Belmont, William & Mary, UC Davis

15-seeds: Rider, Bucknell, Montana, Stephen F. Austin

16-seeds: Radford, Wagner, Penn, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Kansas State, SMU, St. Bonaventure, UCLA

2-seeds: Temple, Middle Tennessee, Western Kentucky, New Mexico State

3-seeds: Mississippi State, Utah, South Carolina, Boise State

4-seeds: Virginia Tech, UCF, Maryland, Nebraska

5-seeds: Buffalo, Colorado, Loyola-IL, Oregon

6-seeds: Notre Dame, South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State

7-seeds: LSU, Boston College, Iowa State, Baylor

8-seeds: Wright State, UL-Lafayette, Belmont, William & Mary

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Ole Miss, UC Davis, Stanford, Wyoming, Brigham Young, Northwestern, UConn

Brad-ketology: January 29th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Sunday January 28th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier

2-seeds: Kansas, Auburn, Duke, Oklahoma

3-seeds: North Carolina, Clemson, Tennessee, Arizona

4-seeds: Texas Tech, West Virginia, Michigan State, Rhode Island

5-seeds: Kentucky, Seton Hall, Butler, Arkansas

6-seeds: Ohio State, Creighton, Florida, Arizona State

7-seeds: Michigan, Louisville, Miami-FL, TCU

8-seeds: Wichita State, Cincinnati, Florida State, Texas

9-seeds: Alabama, Nevada, Providence, Syracuse

10-seeds: St. Mary’s, Gonzaga, Washington, Texas A & M

11-seeds: Houston, Kansas State, Marquette, Missouri, SMU, Southern California

12-seeds: Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-IL

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Wright State

14-seeds: UL-Lafayette, Belmont, Northeastern, UC Davis

15-seeds: Rider, Bucknell, Montana, Stephen F. Austin

16-seeds: Radford, Wagner, Penn, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: South Carolina, St. Bonaventure, UCLA, Georgia 

2-seeds: Utah, NC State, Maryland, Middle Tennessee

3-seeds: Western Kentucky, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Boise State

4-seeds: UCF, Temple, Nebraska, Notre Dame

5-seeds: Loyola-IL, Virginia Tech, Oregon, Boston College

6-seeds: Mississippi State, Colorado, Oklahoma State, South Dakota State

7-seeds: Vermont, East Tennessee State, Baylor, LSU

8-seeds: Ole Miss, Wright State, UL-Lafayette, Belmont

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Northeastern, Minnesota, Penn State, UC Davis, Stanford, Northwestern, Wyoming, Brigham Young, UConn, Missouri State, Indiana