Brad-ketology: February 21st Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Sundays and Fridays) and more often than that when it gets closer to tourney time.  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Thursday February 20th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Syracuse, Florida, Arizona, Wichita State

2-seeds: Villanova, Creighton, Kansas, Iowa State

3-seeds: Wisconsin, Michigan State, UCLA, Virginia

4-seeds: San Diego State, Duke, Cincinnati, Saint Louis

5-seeds: Michigan, Kentucky, Ohio State, Iowa

6-seeds: Texas, Louisville, UConn, UMass

7-seeds: Memphis, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Colorado

8-seeds: Pittsburgh, VCU, New Mexico, George Washington

9-seeds: Gonzaga, Arizona State, Kansas State, Missouri

10-seeds: Stanford, California, Oregon, Toledo

11-seeds: SMU, St. Joe’s, Xavier, Baylor

12-seeds: Minnesota, Oklahoma State, St. John’s, Richmond, Southern Miss, Harvard

13-seeds: North Dakota State, Green Bay, Belmont, Mercer

14-seeds: Delaware, Stephen F. Austin, New Mexico State, Georgia State

15-seeds: UC Santa Barbara, Iona, Boston University, North Carolina Central

16-seeds: Vermont, Robert Morris, Davidson, Northern Colorado, High Point, Alabama State

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Tennessee, Providence, Brigham Young Southern Miss

2-seeds: Harvard, North Dakota State, LSU, Dayton

3-seeds: Clemson, Georgetown, Nebraska, Indiana State

4-seeds: West Virginia, Florida State, Marquette, NC State

5-seeds: Arkansas, Boise State, Green Bay, Belmont

6-seeds: Ole Miss, Louisiana Tech, Mercer, Delaware

7-seeds: Maryland, St. Mary’s, Washington, Illinois

8-seeds: Ohio, Middle Tennessee, Oregon State, Vanderbilt

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Stephen F. Austin, Utah, New Mexico State, Georgia State, Indiana, Wyoming, St. Bonaventure, Georgia


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