Brad-ketology: February 3rd Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Friday February 2nd.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier

2-seeds: Kansas, Auburn, Duke, Clemson

3-seeds: Oklahoma, North Carolina, Tennessee, Arizona

4-seeds: Texas Tech, Michigan State, Rhode Island, Kentucky

5-seeds: Seton Hall, Butler, West Virginia, Arkansas

6-seeds: Ohio State, Michigan, Miami-FL, Creighton,

7-seeds: TCU, Cincinnati, Louisville, Nevada

8-seeds: Wichita State, Arizona State, Florida, Texas A & M

9-seeds: Texas, Washington, Providence, St. Mary’s

10-seeds: Alabama, Florida State, Missouri, Gonzaga

11-seeds: Houston, NC State, Marquette, Southern California, Syracuse, Georgia

12-seeds: Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-IL

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Wright State

14-seeds: UL-Lafayette, Belmont, William & Mary, UC Davis

15-seeds: Rider, Bucknell, Montana, Stephen F. Austin

16-seeds: Radford, Wagner, Penn, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A & T, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Kansas State, SMU, St. Bonaventure, UCLA

2-seeds: Temple, Middle Tennessee, Western Kentucky, New Mexico State

3-seeds: Mississippi State, Utah, South Carolina, Boise State

4-seeds: Virginia Tech, UCF, Maryland, Nebraska

5-seeds: Buffalo, Colorado, Loyola-IL, Oregon

6-seeds: Notre Dame, South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State

7-seeds: LSU, Boston College, Iowa State, Baylor

8-seeds: Wright State, UL-Lafayette, Belmont, William & Mary

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Ole Miss, UC Davis, Stanford, Wyoming, Brigham Young, Northwestern, UConn



    • This guy is still projecting Wichita St to win the American because ??????

      He even has UC seeded higher, they are ranked higher in every single poll, advanced stats metric, AND have a 3 game lead in the standings. Kenpom is predicting UC wins the league by FOUR games with UC at 16-2 and Wichita 12-6.

      I mean, I think the shockers are good, but wtf is is that about?

  1. Same seed line:

    Cincinnati: RPI #11, Q1: 4-2, Q2: 7-0 KenPom #5
    Louisville: RPI #29. Q1: 1-6, Q2: 2-1 KenPom #33

    How are these two teams on the same seed line?? 11-2 vs 3-7 vs the toughest two set of teams.

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