Brad-ketology: February 5th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the dance, and the bolded teams are squads who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT.  For the conferences who currently have NCAA tourney teams, it is assumed that one of those teams will win their conference tourney.  If not, then a stolen bid would result, and the number of at-large bids would drop.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Sunday February 4th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Virginia, Villanova, Purdue, Xavier

2-seeds:  Auburn, Clemson, Duke, Kansas,

3-seeds: Oklahoma, North Carolina, Tennessee, Texas Tech

4-seeds: Michigan State, Rhode Island, Seton Hall, Arizona

5-seeds: Kentucky, Butler, West Virginia, Ohio State

6-seeds: Michigan, Miami-FL, Cincinnati, Creighton,

7-seeds: Nevada, Texas, TCU, Louisville

8-seeds: Washington, Arkansas, Arizona State, Texas A & M

9-seeds: Missouri, Providence, Alabama, Florida State

10-seeds: Florida, St. Mary’s, Wichita State, Gonzaga

11-seeds: Houston, NC State, Temple, Southern California, Georgia, St. Bonaventure

12-seeds: Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Buffalo, Loyola-IL

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Wright State

14-seeds: UL-Lafayette, Belmont, Rider, Bucknell

15-seeds: College of Charleston, Montana, UC Davis, Wagner

16-seeds: UNC-Asheville, Penn, Florida Gulf Coast, North Carolina A & T, Nicholls State, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Syracuse, Marquette, Mississippi State, UCLA

2-seeds: SMU, Kansas State, Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State

3-seeds: Utah, Boise State, Maryland, Nebraska

4-seeds: Buffalo, Western Kentucky, South Carolina, Colorado

5-seeds: Virginia Tech, UCF, LSU, Loyola-IL

6-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont, East Tennessee State, Notre Dame

7-seeds: Boston College, Oregon, Baylor, Stanford

8-seeds: Wright State, Oklahoma State, UL-Lafayette, Belmont

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Iowa State, Northwestern, Penn State, Wyoming, Rider, Bucknell, Brigham Young



    • I’ll make a post about this in my intro comments on friday’s bracket but thatrs intentional to show how close the top mid major auto qualifiers are to getting higher seeds and also to show where they would be seeded if they lost in conference tourney and made the NIT.

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