These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident. Lines are based on the current spreads at the Caesars Sportsbook.
| Air Force (-3.5) vs. Boise State- 7:00– This Falcons are undefeated at home in 2022, meanwhile, the Broncos team have been horrendous on the road. I think this line is more based on brand-name bias with Boise than with the way these two teams have played so far this season. Air Force will win this one by at least a touchdown. |
| BC (+20.5) at Wake Forest- 3:30– The Deacs have played surprisingly bad after bye weeks under Clawson, and when you have as porous of a defense as Wake has, you are one bad offensive game away from getting a major scare from a team you shouldn’t. (See Wake/Liberty game) |
| Penn State (-4.0) vs. Minnesota- 7:30– If Penn State had won last Saturday, I would have called for this to be a major trap game sandwiched between mammoth clashes against Michigan and Ohio State. Instead, the Nittany Lions lost badly in Ann Arbor, so they will put be primed for a strong bounce back effort at home against the Gophers. |
| Georgia State (+9.5) at App State- (Wed) 7:30– These are two teams headed in polar opposite directions. The Panthers have been red hot after a winless start to the season; meanwhile, the wheels have seemed to fall off in Boone, as the Mountaineers have not looked the same since shocking the world with their upset win over Texas A & M. |
| Tulane (-7.0) vs. Memphis- 3:30– The Green Wave continue to impress as they are one perplexing home loss to Southern Miss away from an undefeated season. They will cruise to victory here, as Memphis tries to recover from their heartbreaking multi-OT loss in Greenville last Saturday night. |
| Oklahoma State (+6.5) vs. Texas- 3:30– Spencer Sander’s injury is definitely a concern, but if he plays, I expect the Cowboys to spring the home upset against an overrated Texas squad. And even if he doesn’t, I expect the Pokes to keep it close. |
| UNLV (+25.0) at Notre Dame- 2:30– The Irish are one of the few teams in the country that have played considerably better on the road than at home this season. Meanwhile, the Rebels are much improved in 2022, and I don’t think Notre Dame’s offense can score enough to cover this number. |
| Purdue (+2.0) at Wisconsin- 3:30– The Boilermakers are the better team here that is playing better football right now. I think this game is close, but I give the Boilermakers the edge in this one. |
| Cincinnati (-3.0) at SMU- 12:00– The Ponies will hang around in this one, but they ultimately don’t have enough firepower this season to stay within a field goal of the Bearcats, even at home. |
| Vanderbilt (+14.0) at Missouri- 4:00– Both teams will be anxious for their first conference win, as I expect a low-scoring affair here that will come right down to the wire. |
Last Week’s Record: 4-6, Overall Season Record: 26-44 (the “Brad Fade” college football betting strategy is back and en vogue!)
Ramblings of the Ultimate Sports Sentimentalist 