Week 9 College Football (Against the Spread) Picks

These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident. Lines are based on the current spreads at the Caesars Sportsbook.

North Carolina (-3.0) vs. Pittsburgh- 8:00– The Heels are the class of this division right now, as I don’t believe the Panthers will be able to score enough to hang in this game, especially on the road where they are winless against Power 5 competition.
Texas Tech (-2.5) vs. Baylor- 7:30– The Red Raiders are the slightly better team here I believe, and they are playing this game in Lubbock where Texas Tech is 4-0 this season including two wins over ranked opponents.
Ole Miss (-2.0) at Texas A & M- 7:30– This A & M team is a mess right now, and the Rebels will be motivated to put on a show after their road loss in Baton Rouge last Saturday.
Miami-FL (-2.0) at Virginia -12:30– I know Miami is bad, and I know that their starting quarterback is doubtful for this game, but the Cavs are absolutely atrocious as they have yet to score more than 20 points against an FBS opponent all season.
Nebraska (+7.5) vs. Illinois– 3:30- The Huskers are starting to gain some momentum under their interim coach Mickey Joseph, and the Illini are due for a letdown game at some point.
Kentucky (+12.5) at Tennessee- 7:00– I realize the Cats almost never beat the Vols (3-34 in their 37 meetings since I have been alive), but Kentucky has the style of play to frustrate high octane offenses, as evidenced by the Wildcats’ games against both Ole Miss and Mississippi State. Expect a close one here, and if Tennessee is looking ahead too much to next week’s Georgia game, than an outright upset is definitely possible.
New Mexico State (-2.0) at UMass- 3:30– Two bad teams playing here, but the Aggies have showed some promise in 2022 under Jerry Kill with two wins over FBS foes. Meanwhile, the Minutemen, are 0-6 against FBS opposition this season with none of those games being closer than 7 points.
South Florida (+17.5) at Houston- 12:00– The Bulls have showed a propensity for hanging around on the road with superior opposition, as they gave both Florida and Cincinnati a run for their money this season in road games. Meanwhile, Houston has been up and down all year and is more than capable of allowing the Bulls to hang around until the end in this one.
Cincinnati (Pick) at UCF- 3:30– I understand that the Bounce House is a tough place to play, but the Bearcats are the significantly better team here, and I believe they will show that on Saturday.
North Texas (+10.0) at Western Kentucky- 3:30– These seem like two evenly matched teams, and even though WKU is at home here, they are also in a natural letdown spot after their thrilling win over UAB last weekend.

Last Week’s Record: 5-5, Overall Season Record: Don’t Ask 


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