Week 10 NFL (Against the Spread) Picks

These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident. Lines are based on the current spreads at the Caesars Sportsbook.

Miami (-3.5) vs. Cleveland- (Sun) 1:00– I realize the Browns had a breakout performance against the Bengals last week, but the Dolphins are still the much better team here playing at home.
LA Rams (-3.0) vs. Arizona- (Sun) 4:25– Both of these teams have had a somewhat disappointment 2022 campaign so far, but the Rams already beat the Cardinals on the road by 8 earlier this season so I don’t see why they can’t have a similar or even better result on Sunday.
LA Chargers (+7.0) at San Francisco- (Sun) 8:20– This line really surprised me, as I think the Chargers are more talented and certainly more explosive than the 49ers. The Thunderbolts have also played really well on the road season with three outright wins and two narrow loses, one of which was to Kansas City. LA will either spring the upset or keep this one really close.
Seattle (+2.5) vs. Tampa Bay- (Sun) 9:30 AM– I am always hesitant to bet overseas games because you never know how each team is going to react to the travel, time change, neutral site environment, etc. With that being said, Seattle is one of the hottest teams in the league right now and is playing much better football this season than the struggling Bucs. This line seems to be based more on brand name bias than recent results.
Buffalo (-5.5) vs. Minnesota- (Sun) 1:00– Josh Allen in questionable for Sunday’s game, so obviously the likelihood of a Bills win and cover greatly depends on his status. With that being said, the Bills are undefeated at home this season and have played well after each of their losses the past two years. Meanwhile, Minnesota is due to get exposed in a big game, as I don’t think they are nearly as good as their record indicates,

Last Week’s Record: 2-3, Overall Season Record: 28-17 (my first under .500 week in the NFL in a while)


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