Now that I have thoroughly analyzed the upcoming college football season, it is time for me to publish my seventh annual NFL preseason football guide. Much like my college preview, I have gone through and analyzed every NFL team’s regular season and postseason, as well as selected my disappointment and surprise teams, upsets to watch out for, and over/under win totals to bet.
Without further ado, here are the teams I am predicting to surprise this season. These teams are ordered in the relative disparity between my picks and the experts average while also taking into account the significance of each pick. Keep in mind that in 2022 my # 1 surprise team on this list was the Philadelphia Eagles, who ended up playing in the Super Bowl that season, so I have done some good work with these in the past.
| Surprise Teams | My Predictions | Experts Predictions | |
| 1 | LA Chargers | 1st in AFC West (+1);: Projected Record: 12-5 (+4); 6th in Power Rankings (+8) | 2nd in AFC West; Projected Record: 8-9; 14th in Power Rankings |
| 2 | Cincinnati | 1st in NFC North (E); Projected Record: 13-4 (+4); 5th in Power Rankings (+12) | 1st in NFC North; Projected Record: 9-8; 17th in Power Rankings |
| 3 | Atlanta | 1st in NFC South (E); Projected Record: 8-9 (+3); 8th in Power Rankings (+18) | 1st in NFC South; Projected Record: 5-12; 26th in Power Rankings |
| 4 | NY Giants | 2nd in NFC East (+1); Projected Record: 9-8 (+2); 16th in Power Rankings (+7) | 3rd in NFC East; Projected Record: 7-10; 23rd in Power Rankings |
| 5 | Miami | 3rd in AFC East (+1); Projected Record: 5-12 (+2); 28th in Power Rankings (+4) | 4th in AFC East; Projected Record: 3-14; 32nd in Power Rankings |
