Brad-ketology: March 9th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the Big Dance.  The teams in bold are ones who have already clinched automatic bids to either the NCAA or NIT tournaments.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.   This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Sunday March 9th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Florida, Wichita State, Arizona, Villanova

2-seeds: Kansas, Wisconsin, Creighton, Syracuse

3-seeds: Duke, Michigan, Iowa State, Virginia

4-seeds: Cincinnati, San Diego State, Saint Louis, VCU

5-seeds: UMass, New Mexico, North Carolina, Michigan State

6-seeds: Oklahoma, UCLA, Ohio State, Louisville

7-seeds: UConn, Memphis, Oregon, Kentucky

8-seeds: Texas, George Washington, Gonzaga, Arizona State

9-seeds: Baylor, Colorado, Oklahoma State, Iowa

10-seeds: Kansas State, St. Joe’s, SMU, Brigham Young

11-seeds: Stanford, Xavier, Southern Miss, Pittsburgh

12-seeds: Dayton, Nebraska, Minnesota, Tennessee, Harvard, North Dakota State

13-seeds: Stephen F. Austin, Delaware, Iona, Boston University

14-seeds: Georgia State, Mercer, Western Michigan, UC Irvine

15-seeds: NC Central, Eastern Kentucky, Robert Morris, Utah Valley

16-seeds: UW-Milwaukee, Stony Brook, Wofford, Weber State, Coastal Carolina, Alabama State

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Providence, California, Arkansas, Missouri

2-seeds: Toledo, North Dakota State, Georgetown, Florida State

3-seeds: St. John’s, Green Bay, Belmont, LSU

4-seeds: NC State, Clemson, Illinois, Richmond

5-seeds: Utah, Louisiana Tech, Georgia, Maryland

6-seeds: Marquette, West Virginia, St. Mary’s, Stephen F. Austin

7-seeds: Delaware, Indiana, Washington, Middle Tennessee

8-seeds: Vermont, Davidson, Florida Gulf Coast, High Point

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: Indiana State, Boise State, New Mexico State, Iona, Boston University, San Francisco, Ole Miss, Georgia State



  1. Louisville becomes the first team to beat SMU in University Park this season, proceeds to trounce UConn by 33 in the Yum! Center… and you drop them to the lowest 6 seed? You’re a total joke.

      • Computer numbers are not bad. The RPI is a bad metric. Other computer numbers are very good. Check out Kenpom(2) and BPI(5).

      • The committee cares about as much as a team’s BPI as a team’s mascot. The RPI may be a bad metric but that’s the underlying force behind the seeding of teams (see last yea’rs bracket where every team was within two seed lines of their RPI). Louisville’s RPI puts them as a 6 seed and they really don’t have the wins to warrant a bump up from that. They only have 7 top 100 wins (Ohio State for instance has 12) and none of those are really that great. A split against Cincinnati isn’t anything to write home about.

  2. You did’nt just compare Ohio st and UL , did you ? loooooool . A team that loss to Penn st TWICE. you might want to kept you day job. wow

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