Week 6 College Football (Against the Spread) Picks

These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident. Lines are based on the current spreads at the Caesars Sportsbook.

Western Michigan (-5.0) vs. Eastern Michigan- 12:00– The Broncos are the substantially better team here, and they will be extra motivated after losing three straight games to their rival Eagles.
Kansas State (-1.0) at Iowa State- 7:30– The Wildcats, Horned Frogs, and Cowboys appear to be the top 3 teams in the Big 12 (no, I am not putting put Kansas in that category just yet), and I think if Baylor can go into Jack Trice Stadium and win by a touchdown, K-State can certainly do the same.
Louisville (-3.0) at Virginia- 12:00– Malik Cunningham is banged up and the Cards have not impressed this season, but Virginia is really bad and may even go winless in the ACC this season.
Army (+16.5) at Wake Forest- 7:30– The Black Knights are absolutely the worst team to play coming off a big victory, as their triple option attack can destroy a defense that is not fully focused on the task at hand. That is especially true for a mediocre to bad Wake Forest defense that got lit up for 56 points in West Point last season.
NC State (-3.0) vs. Florida State- 8:00– The Wolfpack seem to always have the Noles’ number, and they are the better team in this matchup that is playing at home.
BYU (+3.5) vs. Notre Dame- 7:30– Everyone thought Notre Dame was complete trash a few weeks ago, and BYU was a dark horse contender to make the college football playoff. Now that narrative has completely flipped thanks to a couple of good Irish performances and a laid egg by BYU in Autzen. Nevertheless, I still think the Cougars have the more explosive offense here, and unlike UNC, BYU can match Notre Dame’s physicality at and around the line of scrimmage.
Florida (-10.5) vs. Missouri- 12:00– The Tigers’ had their big moment last week, as they took Georgia to the wire. I don’t seem them rebounding and keeping it close in the Swamp.
Wyoming (-3.5) at New Mexico- 7:00– The Cowboys have been up and down this season, but I still think they are definitively the better team here and should win somewhat easily.
Oklahoma (+9.0) vs. Texas- 12:00– No matter how good or bad each of these teams look coming into this game, the Red River Rivalry is always a tight battle filled with many twists and turns. Expect nothing less this season, as it would not surprise me at all to see the Sooners squeak out an upset here.
Kentucky (-6.0) vs. South Carolina- 7:30– This line made sense at 10-12 points, and I think the shift down to 6 is an overreaction to Levis’ questionable status. If he plays, this could be a Wildcat mop out, and even if he doesn’t, the Wildcat defense should still shut down the Gamecocks’ pedestrian offense.

Last Week’s Record: 6-4, Overall Season Record: 19-31 (Back to my winning ways, but I still have a lot of ground to make up if I am going to have a .500 season)


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