Week 10 College Football (Against the Spread) Picks

These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident. Lines are based on the current spreads at the Caesars Sportsbook.

Georgia (-8.5) vs. Tennessee- 3:30– Don’t get me wrong… the Vols are a good football team having a spectacular season, but it is about time for the magic carpet ride to end between the Hedges. There have been many an SEC East contender over the years to have their conference title hopes dashed in Athens (Kentucky- 2021, Tennessee- 2020, South Carolina- 2013) as no one has played this team to within two touchdowns in Sanford Stadium in almost two full seasons.
Oklahoma State (-2.0) at Kansas- 3:30- Both of these squads are serious banged up, but I’ll take a banged up Cowboy squad over a banged up Jayhawk team any day. The early season magic in Lawrence has run out and fans are beginning to focus on basketball season.
Kansas State (+2.5) vs. Texas7:00– This line seems to be based more on brand name bias than actual on the field play. K-State is undefeated at home in conference play this season coming off a dominant shut out of a top 10 team, and the Longhorns have yet to win a Big 12 road game in 2022. The wrong team is favored here.
Navy (+19.5) at Cincinnati- 4:00- The Midshipmen won’t pull off the upset here, but their style of play will keep this one close against a Bearcat squad that still may be reeling from their first conference loss in three years. Also, keep in mind that the Midshipmen lost by just a touchdown last year against a Cincy squad that was vastly superior to this one.
Boston College (+9.5) vs. Duke- (Fri) 7:00– The Eagles have played much better at home this season on the road, as their only quality football was played in Chestnut Hill against Louisville and in the first half of the Clemson gram. I think BC hangs around against an overachieving Duke squad and puts themselves in position to spring this upset.
Mississippi State (-13.0) vs. Auburn- 7:30– I actually liked this line a lot more before Bryan Harsin was fired, as you never know how a team is going to respond to a midseason coaching change. Nevertheless, the Tigers look like they have thrown in the towel for 2022, and the Bulldogs have played much better at home this season than on the road.
Coastal Carolina (+3.0) vs. Appalachian State- (Th) 7:30– I am not sure why Coastal is an underdog here as they are the better team playing at home . This should be a great game, as it always is between these two squads, but I give the slight edge to the Chanticleers playing at home.
Michigan State (+16.0) at Illinois- 3:30- These two teams have been polar opposites in how they have performed compared to expectations, but this Illini squad isn’t built to blow anyone out and the Spartans are still showing some fight (both literally and figuratively!) despite their struggles this season.
Hawaii (+24.5) at Fresno State- 10:30– The Rainbow Warriors have been very competitive in the last four games with one upset win and three narrow losses. They will at least hang around long enough in this one to stay within 25.
NC State (+4.5) vs. Wake Forest- 8:00– Raleigh has been a house of horrors over the years for Wake Forest, as they have only won there twice in the last 18 meetings dating back to 1985. Both teams come in to this one banged up, but I think State’s defense may be the key to potentially springing the home upset here.

Last Week’s Record: 5-5, Overall Season Record: Don’t Ask 


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