Week 13 College Football (Against the Spread) Picks

These are in order from my most confident pick to least confident. Lines are based on the current spreads at the Caesars Sportsbook.

Ole Miss (-2.0) vs. Mississippi State- (Th) 7:00– The Rebels have owned this series since Kiffin and Leach took over their respective programs in 2020, and Mississippi State has been a horrible road team in SEC play this season. Expect the Rebels to win this one by at least a touchdown.
Cincinnati (-1.0) vs. Tulane- (Fri) 12:00– The furthest north Tulane has played football this season was in Manhattan, Kansas and that game was in September. Now, the Wave have to travel to Nippert Stadium in late November with the conference title on the line. The Bearcats have much more experience in big games, especially those played in frigid temperatures, so I think Cincy wins this one comfortably.
SMU (-4.5) vs. Memphis- 3:30– Simple logic in this one: a substantially better team that is playing at home in a game that doesn’t matter much for either team should cover a 4.5 point spread.
Marshall (-6.0) vs. Georgia State- 12:00- The Thundering Herd are red hot right now, as they come into this one with three straight convincing victories, including a home upset of App State. Huntington, West Virginia is also a brutal place to play in November, especially for teams based in the South.
Miami-FL (+6.5) vs. Pittsburgh- 8:00– I know the Canes have struggled the past several weeks, but they are playing this one at home with bowl eligibility on the line against a Pitt team that has also underachieved in 2022. I think the U wins this one outright.
Wake Forest (-3.5) at Duke- 3:30– I have not picked my Deacs to cover a spread all season, but Wake always plays Duke better on the road then they do at home, as evidenced by the the fact they won 8 of their last 9 games in Wallace Wade Stadium. The Deacs win this one by a touchdown.
Coastal Carolina (+14.0) at James Madison- 12:00– This line seems crazy to me as the Chants don’t get blown out by anybody. Obviously, Vegas is giving a lot of weight to the injuries of Quarterback Grayson McCall and Receiver Jared Brown, but I feel like Chants’ Coach Jamey Chadwell will come up with a game plan that will keep Coastal in the game and give them a chance at the upset.
Air Force (-1.5) at San Diego State- 9:00– Despite the similarity in their records, Air Force is the substantially better team here, and while the Aztecs will keep it close with their stout defense, the Falcons will take this one by at least a field goal.
New Mexico (+7.5) at Colorado State- (Fri) 3:30– Both of these teams are really bad, but I think the Rams are actually the worst of the two teams. CSU’s only two wins were narrow victories against bad Hawaii and Nevada teams, and New Mexico at least beat a mediocre UTEP squad.
Boston College (+10.5) vs. Syracuse- 7:30– The wheels have come off for the Orange, as they are riding a 5 game losing streak after a 6-0 start. BC, on the other hand, has played much better football down the stretch of the season, as evidenced by their upset win in Raleigh two weeks ago. The Eagles may not win this one, but they will at least keep it close.

Last Week’s Record: 8-2 (Best weekend of the year by far for me. Looking like I’m catching fire heading into the postseason!)


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