Brad-ketology: February 16th Edition

The teams below are displayed below on an S-curve, so they are ranked from left to right within each seeding line.  The italicized teams are ones predicted to win their conference tourney and gain an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.  You will notice that some of these squads are also listed in the NIT bracket.  The reason for this is two-fold.  First and foremost, it shows how close those teams are to getting at-large bids in the NCAA tournament field.  Secondly, it shows where those squads would be seeded if in fact they lost in their conference tournament and garnered an automatic bid to the NIT.

Also, just to clarify, my bracket projection is intended to project the NCAA Tournament field if it was chosen today.  Unlike some bracketologists, I am not trying to predict how each team will finish the season and then seed the teams based on that.  There is one slight exception to this rule, however, and that is that I have always chosen to award the projected automatic bid for each conference to my projected best team in that conference, and not the team who is currently leading the conference standings.   Given how unbalanced conference schedules are, it just seems like common sense to project that the best team in a conference will win the league championship, not the squad currently in first place.

Brad-ketology columns will be published at least twice a week (typically on Mondays and Fridays).  This bracket projection has been updated through all games played on Thursay February 15th.

NCAA Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Virginia, Xavier, Villanova, Auburn

2-seeds: Kansas, Purdue, Duke, North Carolina

3-seeds: Clemson, Texas Tech, Michigan State, Tennessee

4-seeds: Cincinnati, ArizonaRhode Island, West Virginia

5-seeds: Oklahoma, Missouri, Texas A & M, Ohio State

6-seeds: Seton Hall, Creighton, Nevada, Kentucky

7-seeds: Arizona State, Miami, FL, Arkansas Providence

8-seeds: Wichita State, Alabama, Gonzaga, Butler

9-seeds: TCU, Houston, Florida State, Michigan

10-seeds: Louisville, Florida, Washington, Saint Mary’s

11-seeds: Texas, UCLA, Southern California, Temple, NC State, Baylor

12-seeds: Middle Tennessee, Buffalo, New Mexico State, Loyola-IL

13-seeds: South Dakota State, Vermont,  Belmont, East Tennessee State

14-seeds: Rider, UL-Lafayette, College of Charleston, UC Santa Barbara

15-seeds: Bucknell, Montana, Northern Kentucky, UNC-Asheville

16-seeds: Florida Gulf Coast, Penn, Nicholls State, Savannah State, Grambling

NIT Tourney Field:

1-seeds: Syracuse, St. Bonaventure, Virginia Tech, Utah

2-seeds: Middle Tennessee, Marquette, Kansas State, Nebraska

3-seeds: Georgia, Western Kentucky, Mississippi State, Boston College

4-seeds: Boise State, Buffalo, New Mexico State, Loyola-IL

5-seeds: South Dakota State, Notre Dame, Colorado, LSU

6-seeds: Maryland, Vermont, UCF, Oregon

7-seeds: Penn State, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, SMU

8-seeds: Belmont, East Tennessee State, Rider, UL-Lafayette

Ranking of Other Postseason Contenders: College of Charleston, South Carolina, Brigham Young, Tulsa, UC Santa Barbara, Stanford, Northwestern


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